TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130204
Played Sep 15Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
2.35
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711117119––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.48
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 57.7% is still 57.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
57.7%
57.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
116711117119––
H2H Jakub Cyndera 31–34 Miroslaw Warzecha Jakub Cyndera has won 31 of their 65 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Warzecha beat Cyndera 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.48 (61%)
Warzecha
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-34 in 65
Warzecha
Wrong
gap of 3 in 65, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1372 vs Warzecha 1569
Warzecha
Wrong
both rated, 197 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 20% vs Warzecha 100%
Warzecha
Wrong
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 20% vs Warzecha 90%
Warzecha
Wrong
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera -2 · Warzecha +5
Warzecha
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 2.35 / Warzecha 1.48
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13130204
Cyndera2.35
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog43% won 24 of 56
Down 0–1, comes back14% 4 of 28
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Warzecha1.48
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 5
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 347 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it89% 261 of 294
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera5wins
AwayWarzecha5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera71.4%5 of 7
AwayWarzecha100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera7Warzecha3n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S2Cyndera4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S3Cyndera6Warzecha4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S4Cyndera3Warzecha2n = 5Cyndera took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaWarzechaC − WBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match32.434.1−1.7per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime322 / 583 vs 856 / 120755.2%70.9%322 / 583 vs 856 / 1207Avg sets wonper match2.02.4per matchAvg pointsper match36.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaCyndera 2.35/Warzecha 1.48
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.2%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 14 · 16:25J. Cyndera43111155112M. Warzecha51791111133
WJul 28 · 02:00J. Cyndera3711411113M. Warzecha36811891
LJul 27 · 16:25J. Cyndera2273120M. Warzecha361111143
LJul 21 · 02:00J. Cyndera2211740M. Warzecha351311113
WJul 20 · 16:25J. Cyndera331111113M. Warzecha259790
WJul 13 · 22:50J. Cyndera341211113M. Warzecha2410950
LJul 13 · 15:10J. Cyndera3611421182M. Warzecha48711118113
LJul 7 · 02:00J. Cyndera26551151M. Warzecha4211119113
WJul 6 · 16:25J. Cyndera3811511113M. Warzecha31611861
WJun 30 · 24:25J. Cyndera331111113M. Warzecha135350
J. Cyndera10
LSep 15 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.55119791M. Machelski2.3081111113LSep 14 · 23:35J. Cyndera2.108650A. Zmijewski1.601111113LSep 14 · 22:25J. Michalik1.9011114113J. Cyndera1.75931161WSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102LSep 14 · 20:00J. Cyndera1.228121151D. Maszczynski3.60111013113LSep 14 · 18:45J. Cyndera1.8069111142P. Gesiarz1.90111199113LSep 14 · 17:35J. Cyndera1.958117101A. Zmijewski1.7511711123LSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.5011911113A. Staniczek2.35511691LSep 11 · 01:45J. Cyndera1.537117111K. Gudzik2.3811711133
M. Warzecha10
WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162WSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.71913911113A. Zmijewski2.00111111772WSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113
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