TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110076
Played Sep 11Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.53
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7111177111113––
Krystian Gudzik
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:28 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Cyndera above · Krystian Gudzik below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 78 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Jakub Cyndera at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Cyndera 1–0 Krystian Gudzik Krystian Gudzik has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Cyndera beat Gudzik 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:28What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Cyndera
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1449 vs Gudzik 1415
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 34 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 40% vs Gudzik 60%
Gudzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 60% vs Gudzik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera -2 · Gudzik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gudzik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.53 / Gudzik 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Cyndera)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13110076
Cyndera1.53
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 134 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Gudzik2.38
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog35% won 13 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeCyndera1wins
AwayGudzik0wins
1 of 1 to a deciderCyndera leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricCynderaGudzikC − GBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match58.066.0−8.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 574 vs 52 / 9955.8%52.5%320 / 574 vs 52 / 99Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.53/Gudzik 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.8%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 10 · 16:15J. Cyndera—114163243K. Gudzik—8111411222
J. Cyndera10
LSep 11 · 24:35J. Cyndera1.9111561192Z. Nocun1.80611119113LSep 10 · 23:20J. Cyndera1.918630M. Lewczuk1.801111113WSep 10 · 22:10M. Baran1.915990J. Cyndera1.801111113WSep 10 · 21:20J. Cyndera1.36811113113A. Staniczek3.0011591192LSep 10 · 19:40J. Cyndera1.831013981M. Baran1.83121111113WSep 10 · 18:30J. Cyndera2.101111113Z. Nocun1.679850WSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243WSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 11 · 01:00M. Baran1.831111113K. Gudzik1.836860WSep 11 · 24:10K. Gudzik1.401411113A. Staniczek2.7512990WSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152LSep 10 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.80132126153K. Gudzik1.9111111011132WSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik1.4441111113A. Staniczek2.63118621WSep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik1.91611711113M. Baran1.8011511982WSep 10 · 17:45K. Gudzik1.9111711113Z. Nocun1.80611571LSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243LSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113LSep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.4611112113K. Gudzik1.44751171
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