TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13109655
Played Sep 11Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.40
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412119119––––
Adam Staniczek
Away
2.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:12 and never touched — 68.5% is still 68.5%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
68.5%
68.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Adam Staniczek below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 66 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Krystian Gudzik at 68.5%
66 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 7–2 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Gudzik beat Staniczek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:12What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.40 (66%)
Gudzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Gudzik
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1416 vs Staniczek 1214
Gudzik
Correct
both rated, 203 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 80% vs Staniczek 40%
Gudzik
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Staniczek 30%
Gudzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik +1 · Staniczek +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.40 / Staniczek 2.75
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Gudzik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13109655
Gudzik1.40
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite66% won 33 of 50
Up 2–0, closes it100% 17 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it87% 26 of 30
Staniczek2.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 116 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 215
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeGudzik7wins
AwayStaniczek2wins
3 of 9 to a deciderGudzik leads 7–2, and 3 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzik100%3 of 3
AwayStaniczek33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik3Staniczek6n = 9Staniczek took 6 of 9
S2Gudzik5Staniczek4n = 9Gudzik took 5 of 9
S3Gudzik7Staniczek2n = 9Gudzik took 7 of 9
S4Gudzik5Staniczek3n = 8Gudzik took 5 of 8
S5Gudzik3Staniczek0n = 3Gudzik took 3 of 3
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home333%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricGudzikStaniczekG − SBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match41.238.2+3.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime51 / 97 vs 365 / 101652.6%35.9%51 / 97 vs 365 / 1016Avg sets wonper match2.01.6per matchAvg pointsper match36.633.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikGudzik 1.40/Staniczek 2.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.7%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik—41111113A. Staniczek—118621
LSep 10 · 04:40K. Gudzik—751171A. Staniczek—11112113
WSep 9 · 20:45K. Gudzik—8111111113A. Staniczek—11138672
WSep 3 · 01:30K. Gudzik—81211113A. Staniczek—1110931
WSep 2 · 19:30K. Gudzik—1111123A. Staniczek—37100
WAug 12 · 23:45K. Gudzik—119611113A. Staniczek—91111792
WAug 12 · 15:50K. Gudzik—5141110113A. Staniczek—111291292
WAug 9 · 23:45K. Gudzik—11318123A. Staniczek—61116101
LAug 9 · 15:50K. Gudzik—411991A. Staniczek—11811113
K. Gudzik10
WSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152LSep 10 · 21:45Z. Nocun1.80132126153K. Gudzik1.9111111011132WSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik1.4441111113A. Staniczek2.63118621WSep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik1.91611711113M. Baran1.8011511982WSep 10 · 17:45K. Gudzik1.9111711113Z. Nocun1.80611571LSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243LSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113LSep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.4611112113K. Gudzik1.44751171WSep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.8011911133J. Skorupa1.847119111LSep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.47111145113K. Gudzik2.5066111182
A. Staniczek10
WSep 10 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.36117811112A. Staniczek3.00811112133LSep 10 · 21:20J. Cyndera1.36811113113A. Staniczek3.0011591192LSep 10 · 20:30K. Gudzik1.4441111113A. Staniczek2.63118621LSep 10 · 19:20A. Staniczek3.50612851M. Lewczuk1.28111011113WSep 10 · 18:10M. Baran1.508101141A. Staniczek2.5011127113LSep 10 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.401111113A. Staniczek2.759680LSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110WSep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.4611112113K. Gudzik1.44751171LSep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.608640M. Warzecha1.221111113LSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123
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