TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105186
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
3.60
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611411––––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.22
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 74.2% is still 74.2%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
74.2%
74.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
51 points played in total.
Set by set
811611411––––
H2H Adam Staniczek 8–61 Miroslaw Warzecha Adam Staniczek has won 8 of their 69 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Warzecha beat Staniczek 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (75%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-61 in 69
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 53 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1213 vs Warzecha 1522
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 309 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 0% vs Warzecha 60%
Warzecha
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 10% vs Warzecha 60%
Warzecha
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -5 · Warzecha +1
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (60%) is below what odds imply (82%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 3.60 / Warzecha 1.22
Signal prob.19% / 81%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13105186
Staniczek3.60
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 115 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 282
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 210
Warzecha1.22
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 354 of 489
Up 2–0, closes it97% 205 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it88% 268 of 303
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayWarzecha9wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
AwayWarzecha100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Staniczek2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Staniczek2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S4Staniczek0Warzecha5n = 5Warzecha took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekWarzechaS − WBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match29.239.1−9.9per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 1008 vs 855 / 121336.1%70.5%364 / 1008 vs 855 / 1213Avg sets wonper match1.62.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.838.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaStaniczek 3.60/Warzecha 1.22
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 9 · 21:30A. Staniczek—1191581M. Warzecha—91117113
LSep 8 · 24:25A. Staniczek—31050M. Warzecha—1112113
WSep 7 · 20:45A. Staniczek—1111118113M. Warzecha—69131172
LSep 3 · 02:45A. Staniczek—6770M. Warzecha—1111113
LSep 2 · 23:05A. Staniczek—811151M. Warzecha—11116113
LAug 24 · 21:35A. Staniczek—8950M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 24 · 15:35A. Staniczek—7850M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 17 · 21:35A. Staniczek—115691M. Warzecha—91111113
LAug 17 · 15:35A. Staniczek—61111582M. Warzecha—118911113
LJul 28 · 24:25A. Staniczek—4880M. Warzecha—1111113
A. Staniczek10
LSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123LSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.423930J. Skorupa1.461111113LSep 9 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.581211113A. Staniczek2.2510850LSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581LSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113WSep 9 · 19:10A. Staniczek2.4261111173J. Skorupa1.461137151LSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.47111145113K. Gudzik2.5066111182WSep 10 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.41611411113J. Skorupa2.5511311252LSep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.15116811113M. Warzecha1.6191111682LSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581WSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171LSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.709101112102J. Skorupa2.001112810123WSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113WSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113
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