TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103474
Played Sep 9Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
2.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1181311811611711
Krystian Gudzik
Away
1.47
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
1181311811611711
H2H Adam Staniczek 1–5 Krystian Gudzik Adam Staniczek has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Gudzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Gudzik
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1263 vs Gudzik 1409
Gudzik
Correct
both rated, 146 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 20% vs Gudzik 40%
Gudzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 50% vs Gudzik 30%
Staniczek
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek +1 · Gudzik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gudzik form (40%) is below what odds imply (68%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 2.50 / Gudzik 1.47
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Gudzik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103474
Staniczek2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog26% won 115 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 282
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 210
Gudzik1.47
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 29 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayGudzik5wins
2 of 6 to a deciderGudzik leads 5–1, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
AwayGudzik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek3Gudzik3n = 6split evenly
S2Staniczek2Gudzik4n = 6Gudzik took 4 of 6
S3Staniczek2Gudzik4n = 6Gudzik took 4 of 6
S4Staniczek2Gudzik3n = 5Gudzik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricStaniczekGudzikS − GBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match39.542.0−2.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime369 / 1009 vs 42 / 8236.6%51.2%369 / 1009 vs 42 / 82Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.835.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikStaniczek 2.50/Gudzik 1.47
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 3 · 01:30A. Staniczek—1110931K. Gudzik—81211113
LSep 2 · 19:30A. Staniczek—37100K. Gudzik—1111123
LAug 12 · 23:45A. Staniczek—91111792K. Gudzik—119611113
LAug 12 · 15:50A. Staniczek—111291292K. Gudzik—5141110113
LAug 9 · 23:45A. Staniczek—61116101K. Gudzik—11318123
WAug 9 · 15:50A. Staniczek—11811113K. Gudzik—411991
A. Staniczek10
WSep 9 · 19:10A. Staniczek2.4261111173J. Skorupa1.461137151LSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113LSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.191112113A. Staniczek3.9031050WSep 7 · 23:10M. Machelski1.9516150A. Staniczek1.751811113WSep 7 · 21:35M. Karpiuk1.60513581A. Staniczek2.10111111113WSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113LSep 7 · 19:35A. Staniczek2.01611111162A. Krezel1.66111375113WSep 7 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.40511681A. Staniczek1.5011911113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113
Upcoming Matches
A. Staniczek
Sep 9 · 21:30A. Staniczek3.45M. Warzecha1.23—Sep 9 · 22:20A. Staniczek2.35J. Slawomir1.48—Sep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.42J. Skorupa1.46—Sep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.31W. Stechly3.00—Sep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85Z. Nocun1.34—Sep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.60M. Warzecha1.22—Sep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.46K. Gudzik1.44—Sep 10 · 18:10A. Staniczek—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 19:20A. Staniczek—M. Lewczuk——Sep 11 · 01:25A. Staniczek—M. Lewczuk——
K. Gudzik
Sep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.85J. Skorupa1.85—Sep 9 · 23:05K. Gudzik2.48M. Warzecha1.43—Sep 9 · 23:55K. Gudzik1.15W. Stechly4.35—Sep 10 · 01:30K. Gudzik2.01Z. Nocun1.66—Sep 10 · 02:40K. Gudzik2.48M. Warzecha1.43—Sep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.80J. Skorupa1.84—Sep 10 · 04:40K. Gudzik1.44A. Staniczek2.46—Sep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik—M. Lewczuk——
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