TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103065
Played Sep 9Finished
Zbigniew Nocun
Home
1.75
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
31111812107111311
Krystian Gudzik
Away
1.90
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
97 points played in total.
Set by set
31111812107111311
H2H Zbigniew Nocun 2–6 Krystian Gudzik Zbigniew Nocun has won 2 of their 8 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.75 (52%)
Nocun
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-6 in 8
Gudzik
Wrong
gap of 4 in 8, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Nocun 1456 vs Gudzik 1420
Nocun
Correct
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Nocun 40% vs Gudzik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Nocun 40% vs Gudzik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Nocun +1 · Gudzik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gudzik form (40%) is below what odds imply (53%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsNocun 1.75 / Gudzik 1.90
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Nocun)+1.9pp
TT Elite Series · #13103065
Nocun1.75
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 320 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it95% 155 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it87% 230 of 266
Gudzik1.90
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 8 meetings
HomeNocun2wins
AwayGudzik6wins
1 of 8 to a deciderGudzik leads 6–2, and 1 of those 8 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeNocunn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayGudzik100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 8 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Nocun2Gudzik6n = 8Gudzik took 6 of 8
S2Nocun4Gudzik4n = 8split evenly
S3Nocun4Gudzik4n = 8split evenly
S4Nocun1Gudzik3n = 4Gudzik took 3 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 8 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 8 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home225%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away113%
1–3Four sets, away338%
0–3Straight, away225%
These 8 meetings
MetricNocunGudzikN − GBasisWins26−4in 8 meetingsFirst set26−4of 8Avg pointsper match32.133.0−0.9per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricNocunGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime651 / 1088 vs 42 / 8159.8%51.9%651 / 1088 vs 42 / 81Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.435.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunNocun 1.75/Gudzik 1.90
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Nocun won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
WSep 3 · 02:20Z. Nocun—1112113K. Gudzik—41060
LSep 2 · 18:20Z. Nocun—611971K. Gudzik—11611113
LAug 27 · 24:35Z. Nocun—991191K. Gudzik—11117113
LAug 26 · 18:30Z. Nocun—5780K. Gudzik—1111113
WAug 14 · 24:35Z. Nocun—1111113K. Gudzik—5450
LAug 13 · 18:30Z. Nocun—107111172K. Gudzik—121147113
LAug 13 · 24:35Z. Nocun—811681K. Gudzik—11511113
LAug 12 · 18:30Z. Nocun—36110K. Gudzik—1111133
Z. Nocun10
WSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.5711118113J. Skorupa2.25531171
K. Gudzik10
WSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 23:10K. Gudzik3.159880H. Tkaczyk1.291111113LSep 5 · 22:00K. Gudzik2.8569131172C. Pawlik1.361111115113LSep 5 · 20:20K. Gudzik2.60117581J. Oracz1.4281111113LSep 5 · 18:45A. Krezel2.0012115113K. Gudzik1.711081151WSep 5 · 18:00C. Pawlik1.428111051K. Gudzik2.6011512113WSep 5 · 17:10K. Gudzik3.5011811113H. Tkaczyk1.25811241
Upcoming Matches
Z. Nocun
Sep 9 · 20:20Z. Nocun2.18M. Warzecha1.56—Sep 9 · 21:05Z. Nocun1.61J. Slawomir2.10—Sep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66J. Skorupa2.05—Sep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.25M. Warzecha1.52—Sep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.66K. Gudzik2.01—Sep 10 · 02:20Z. Nocun1.34A. Staniczek2.85—Sep 10 · 03:00Z. Nocun1.11W. Stechly5.05—Sep 10 · 04:20Z. Nocun—J. Skorupa——Sep 10 · 15:50Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——
K. Gudzik1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 20:45K. Gudzik1.44A. Staniczek2.46—Sep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.83J. Skorupa1.86—Sep 9 · 23:05K. Gudzik2.48M. Warzecha1.43—Sep 9 · 23:55K. Gudzik1.15W. Stechly4.35—Sep 10 · 01:30K. Gudzik2.01Z. Nocun1.66—Sep 10 · 02:40K. Gudzik2.48M. Warzecha1.43—Sep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.80J. Skorupa1.84—Sep 10 · 04:40K. Gudzik—A. Staniczek——Sep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik—M. Baran——
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