TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104269
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
1.71
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81115171181719––
Witold Stechly
Away
2.02
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:17 and never touched — 68.8% is still 68.8%
Graded at full timeAdam Staniczek to win
68.8%
68.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
106 points played in total.
Set by set
81115171181719––
H2H Adam Staniczek 11–1 Witold Stechly Witold Stechly has won 1 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:17What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.71 (54%)
Staniczek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-1 in 12
Staniczek
Wrong
gap of 10 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1230 vs Stechly 1111
Staniczek
Wrong
both rated, 120 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 20% vs Stechly 40%
Stechly
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 20% vs Stechly 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -4 · Stechly -1
Staniczek
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Staniczek) · live re-read · sealed at 69% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 1.71 / Stechly 2.02
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Staniczek)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13104269
Staniczek1.71
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite75% won 94 of 125
Up 2–0, closes it97% 55 of 57
Up 1–0, closes it89% 71 of 80
Stechly2.02
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog20% won 46 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back10% 16 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 105
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek10wins
AwayStechly0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderStaniczek leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek100%8 of 8
AwayStechlyn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek8Stechly2n = 10Staniczek took 8 of 10
S2Staniczek10Stechly0n = 10Staniczek took 10 of 10
S3Staniczek7Stechly3n = 10Staniczek took 7 of 10
S4Staniczek4Stechly0n = 4Staniczek took 4 of 4
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home660%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekStechlyStaniczek − StechlyBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match37.325.4+11.9per matchSweeps60+63–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekStechlyBasisWin rate · lifetime365 / 1009 vs 85 / 52436.2%16.2%365 / 1009 vs 85 / 524Avg sets wonper match1.61.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.833.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
StaniczekStaniczek 1.71/Stechly 2.02
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
60.5%
Staniczek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 23:55A. Staniczek—111112113W. Stechly—981481
WAug 27 · 22:40A. Staniczek—812211123W. Stechly—1110115102
WAug 14 · 24:45A. Staniczek—11118123W. Stechly—4811101
WAug 7 · 05:05A. Staniczek—1111113W. Stechly—8370
WJul 24 · 05:05A. Staniczek—71111113W. Stechly—117531
WMay 21 · 05:05A. Staniczek—1111113W. Stechly—6750
WJan 23 · 01:45A. Staniczek—1111113W. Stechly—8550
WJan 16 · 03:20A. Staniczek—1111113W. Stechly—7540
WSep 19 · 05:05A. Staniczek—1111113W. Stechly—7440
WAug 7 · 18:45A. Staniczek—1411113W. Stechly—12840
A. Staniczek10
LSep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.423930J. Skorupa1.461111113LSep 9 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.581211113A. Staniczek2.2510850LSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581LSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113WSep 9 · 19:10A. Staniczek2.4261111173J. Skorupa1.461137151LSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:35A. Staniczek2.01991471A. Krezel1.66111112113LSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.191112113A. Staniczek3.9031050WSep 7 · 23:10M. Machelski1.9516150A. Staniczek1.751811113
W. Stechly10
LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113LSep 3 · 01:55W. Stechly3.95311621J. Skorupa1.2011811113
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