TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104701
Played Sep 10Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.47
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
116116411511118
Krystian Gudzik
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:43 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
116116411511118
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 2–1 Krystian Gudzik Krystian Gudzik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Gudzik beat Warzecha 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:43What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.47 (63%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1527 vs Gudzik 1438
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 60% vs Gudzik 80%
Gudzik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 60% vs Gudzik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +1 · Gudzik -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Gudzik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.47 / Gudzik 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Warzecha)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13104701
Warzecha1.47
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 354 of 489
Up 2–0, closes it97% 205 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it88% 268 of 303
Gudzik2.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 12 of 34
Down 0–1, comes back12% 2 of 17
Down 0–2, comes back7% 1 of 15
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWarzecha2wins
AwayGudzik1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderWarzecha leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha1Gudzik2n = 3Gudzik took 2 of 3
S2Warzecha2Gudzik1n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
S3Warzecha2Gudzik1n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWarzechaGudzikW − GBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match36.734.7+2.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime856 / 1214 vs 46 / 8770.5%52.9%856 / 1214 vs 46 / 87Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.036.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.47/Gudzik 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.8%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha—71170K. Gudzik—1113113
WSep 3 · 24:20M. Warzecha—511119163K. Gudzik—118311142
WSep 2 · 20:20M. Warzecha—1111113K. Gudzik—8770
M. Warzecha10
WSep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.608640M. Warzecha1.221111113WSep 10 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.41611411113J. Skorupa2.5511311252LSep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.15116811113M. Warzecha1.6191111682LSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581WSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171LSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.709101112102J. Skorupa2.001112810123WSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113WSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113
K. Gudzik10
LSep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.85911911113K. Gudzik1.8011311792WSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.85136119113J. Skorupa1.85111161142WSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113LSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113WSep 6 · 24:45A. Krezel2.256660K. Gudzik1.551111113LSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891
Upcoming Matches
M. Warzecha
K. Gudzik2 of 6 neutral
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