TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103057
Played Sep 9Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.56
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116113511117––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
2.18
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:39 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
116113511117––
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 30–36 Zbigniew Nocun Miroslaw Warzecha has won 30 of their 66 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:39What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.56 (58%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-36 in 66
Nocun
Wrong
gap of 6 in 66, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1533 vs Nocun 1466
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 66 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 60% vs Nocun 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 60% vs Nocun 40%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha -2 · Nocun +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (46%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.56 / Nocun 2.18
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Warzecha)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13103057
Warzecha1.56
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite72% won 354 of 489
Up 2–0, closes it97% 205 of 212
Up 1–0, closes it88% 268 of 303
Nocun2.18
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 77 of 192
Down 0–1, comes back15% 16 of 106
Down 0–2, comes back5% 3 of 56
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha5wins
AwayNocun5wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%3 of 3
AwayNocun71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S2Warzecha4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Warzecha7Nocun3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S4Warzecha2Nocun2n = 4split evenly
S5Warzecha2Nocun1n = 3Warzecha took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaNocunW − NBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match34.734.5+0.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1208 vs 652 / 108970.5%59.9%852 / 1208 vs 652 / 1089Avg sets wonper match2.42.2per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.56/Nocun 2.18
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.1%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 03:30M. Warzecha—1111113Z. Nocun—7680
WSep 2 · 21:30M. Warzecha—1111113Z. Nocun—7980
WAug 20 · 04:20M. Warzecha—1111113Z. Nocun—6580
LJul 30 · 24:20M. Warzecha—971281Z. Nocun—111110113
WJul 29 · 20:20M. Warzecha—7111113113Z. Nocun—11861552
LJul 23 · 24:20M. Warzecha—76111362Z. Nocun—1111311113
LJul 22 · 20:20M. Warzecha—6960Z. Nocun—1111113
WJul 2 · 24:20M. Warzecha—781112113Z. Nocun—111151082
LJul 1 · 20:20M. Warzecha—710100Z. Nocun—1112123
LJun 4 · 02:45M. Warzecha—4780Z. Nocun—1111113
M. Warzecha10
LSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.709101112102J. Skorupa2.001112810123WSep 8 · 02:00M. Karpiuk3.251081171M. Warzecha1.2612118113WSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.191112113A. Staniczek3.9031050WSep 7 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.32119119113A. Krezel3.1081161182WSep 7 · 22:00M. Machelski3.656670M. Warzecha1.211111113LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.2269131172A. Staniczek3.601111118113WSep 7 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1511138113D. Maszczynski4.507111181LSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113
Z. Nocun10
WSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113LSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340
Upcoming Matches
M. Warzecha
Sep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.23A. Staniczek3.45—Sep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.43K. Gudzik2.48—Sep 10 · 24:20M. Warzecha1.52Z. Nocun2.25—Sep 10 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.41J. Skorupa2.55—Sep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.43K. Gudzik2.48—Sep 10 · 03:20M. Warzecha1.22A. Staniczek3.60—Sep 10 · 04:00M. Warzecha1.06W. Stechly6.30—
Z. Nocun
Sep 9 · 21:05Z. Nocun1.61J. Slawomir2.10—Sep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66J. Skorupa2.05—Sep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.25M. Warzecha1.52—Sep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.66K. Gudzik2.01—Sep 10 · 02:20Z. Nocun1.34A. Staniczek2.85—Sep 10 · 03:00Z. Nocun1.11W. Stechly5.05—Sep 10 · 04:20Z. Nocun1.64J. Skorupa2.04—Sep 10 · 15:50Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 23:45Z. Nocun—M. Baran——
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