TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13108190
Played Sep 10Finished
Krystian Gudzik
Home
1.91
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
116711115117––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKrystian Gudzik above · Zbigniew Nocun below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 69 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Zbigniew Nocun at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Krystian Gudzik 6–4 Zbigniew Nocun Zbigniew Nocun has won 4 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:03What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nocun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-4 in 10
Gudzik
Correct
gap of 2 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Gudzik 1386 vs Nocun 1400
Nocun
Wrong
both rated, 14 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Gudzik 20% vs Nocun 40%
Nocun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Gudzik 50% vs Nocun 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Gudzik -3 · Nocun +1
Gudzik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGudzik 1.91 / Nocun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nocun)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13108190
Gudzik1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 13 of 37
Down 0–1, comes back11% 2 of 18
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 16
Nocun1.80
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 323 of 486
Up 2–0, closes it95% 157 of 166
Up 1–0, closes it86% 232 of 270
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeGudzik6wins
AwayNocun4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderGudzik leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeGudzik75%6 of 8
AwayNocunn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Gudzik8Nocun2n = 10Gudzik took 8 of 10
S2Gudzik4Nocun6n = 10Nocun took 6 of 10
S3Gudzik5Nocun5n = 10split evenly
S4Gudzik4Nocun2n = 6Gudzik took 4 of 6
S5Gudzik1Nocun2n = 3Nocun took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricGudzikNocunG − NBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match35.635.4+0.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricGudzikNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime47 / 92 vs 657 / 109951.1%59.8%47 / 92 vs 657 / 1099Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunGudzik 1.91/Nocun 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Gudzik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 10 · 01:30K. Gudzik—11311792Z. Nocun—911911113
LSep 9 · 19:30K. Gudzik—1181011112Z. Nocun—311127133
LSep 3 · 02:20K. Gudzik—41060Z. Nocun—1112113
WSep 2 · 18:20K. Gudzik—11611113Z. Nocun—611971
WAug 27 · 24:35K. Gudzik—11117113Z. Nocun—991191
WAug 26 · 18:30K. Gudzik—1111113Z. Nocun—5780
LAug 14 · 24:35K. Gudzik—5450Z. Nocun—1111113
WAug 13 · 18:30K. Gudzik—121147113Z. Nocun—107111172
WAug 13 · 24:35K. Gudzik—11511113Z. Nocun—811681
WAug 12 · 18:30K. Gudzik—1111133Z. Nocun—36110
K. Gudzik10
LSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243LSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113LSep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.4611112113K. Gudzik1.44751171WSep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.8011911133J. Skorupa1.847119111LSep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.47111145113K. Gudzik2.5066111182LSep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.85911911113K. Gudzik1.8011311792WSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.85136119113J. Skorupa1.85111161142WSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113
Z. Nocun10
WSep 10 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.401111113A. Staniczek2.759680LSep 10 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.6781111862M. Baran2.10117811113LSep 10 · 04:20Z. Nocun1.6410870J. Skorupa2.041211113LSep 10 · 03:00W. Stechly5.0581111113Z. Nocun1.11117591WSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123WSep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.85911911113K. Gudzik1.8011311792WSep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.15116811113M. Warzecha1.6191111682WSep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66111110113J. Skorupa2.05891281LSep 9 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.90518711113Z. Nocun1.80111611632LSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171
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