TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105187
Played Sep 10Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
5.05
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
811117115119––
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.11
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:34 and never touched — 63.0% is still 63.0%
Graded at full timeZbigniew Nocun to win
63.0%
63.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
73 points played in total.
Set by set
811117115119––
H2H Witold Stechly 3–19 Zbigniew Nocun Witold Stechly has won 3 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:34What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.11 (82%)
Nocun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-19 in 22
Nocun
Wrong
gap of 16 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1123 vs Nocun 1479
Nocun
Wrong
both rated, 356 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 40% vs Nocun 60%
Nocun
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Nocun 60%
Nocun
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -1 · Nocun +3
Nocun
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 87% — Strong (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (60%) is below what odds imply (90%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 5.05 / Nocun 1.11
Signal prob.13% / 87%
Edge (Nocun)+5.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13105187
Stechly5.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog20% won 46 of 230
Down 0–1, comes back10% 16 of 157
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 105
Nocun1.11
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite67% won 320 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it95% 155 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it87% 230 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly1wins
AwayNocun9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderNocun leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly33.3%1 of 3
AwayNocun100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S2Stechly6Nocun4n = 10Stechly took 6 of 10
S3Stechly3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S4Stechly3Nocun7n = 10Nocun took 7 of 10
S5Stechly0Nocun3n = 3Nocun took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away660%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyNocunS − NBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match36.743.5−6.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 526 vs 655 / 109416.4%59.9%86 / 526 vs 655 / 1094Avg sets wonper match1.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunStechly 5.05/Nocun 1.11
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
87.2%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 24:45W. Stechly—8111110102Z. Nocun—117912123
LJul 30 · 03:05W. Stechly—1159101Z. Nocun—71111123
LJul 24 · 02:20W. Stechly—61151152Z. Nocun—119119113
LJul 23 · 03:05W. Stechly—51141232Z. Nocun—1181110113
LJul 2 · 03:05W. Stechly—7128101Z. Nocun—111011123
LJun 25 · 23:30W. Stechly—5117111Z. Nocun—11911133
LJun 25 · 01:55W. Stechly—581161Z. Nocun—11119113
WJun 18 · 02:20W. Stechly—11116113Z. Nocun—571181
LMay 28 · 02:20W. Stechly—117981Z. Nocun—91111113
LApr 22 · 23:30W. Stechly—6711101Z. Nocun—11114123
W. Stechly10
LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113WSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113LSep 3 · 03:05W. Stechly3.40941161K. Gudzik1.2511116113
Z. Nocun10
WSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123WSep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.85911911113K. Gudzik1.8011311792WSep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.15116811113M. Warzecha1.6191111682WSep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66111110113J. Skorupa2.05891281LSep 9 · 21:05J. Slawomir1.90518711113Z. Nocun1.80111611632LSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171WSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192
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