TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103473
Played Sep 9Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.90
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
5111816711116113
Zbigniew Nocun
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 70.5% is still 70.5%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
70.5%
70.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
99 points played in total.
Set by set
5111816711116113
H2H Janus Slawomir 2–2 Zbigniew Nocun Dead even across their 4 meetings.
Last 4 · 2–2Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Nocun
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-2 in 4
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1516 vs Nocun 1456
Slawomir
Correct
both rated, 59 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 80% vs Nocun 40%
Slawomir
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 90% vs Nocun 40%
Slawomir
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +2 · Nocun -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Nocun) · live re-read · sealed at 30% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Nocun form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.90 / Nocun 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Nocun)+2.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13103473
Slawomir1.90
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog49% won 31 of 63
Down 0–1, comes back28% 11 of 39
Down 0–2, comes back9% 2 of 22
Nocun1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite67% won 320 of 481
Up 2–0, closes it95% 155 of 164
Up 1–0, closes it87% 230 of 266
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSlawomir2wins
AwayNocun2wins
2 of 4 to a deciderLevel at 2–2, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomirn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayNocun66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir1Nocun3n = 4Nocun took 3 of 4
S2Slawomir3Nocun1n = 4Slawomir took 3 of 4
S3Slawomir2Nocun2n = 4split evenly
S4Slawomir2Nocun1n = 3Slawomir took 2 of 3
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away125%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricSlawomirNocunS − NBasisWins220in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match38.537.5+1.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirNocunBasisWin rate · lifetime78 / 134 vs 652 / 109058.2%59.8%78 / 134 vs 652 / 1090Avg sets wonper match2.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
NocunSlawomir 1.90/Nocun 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Nocun · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Slawomir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LSep 2 · 22:20J. Slawomir—91151292Z. Nocun—1181110113
WAug 17 · 05:35J. Slawomir—1111113Z. Nocun—2950
LJul 29 · 21:05J. Slawomir—311871Z. Nocun—11911113
WJul 22 · 21:05J. Slawomir—581111113Z. Nocun—11116672
J. Slawomir10
WSep 9 · 19:55J. Slawomir1.811512113J. Skorupa1.83131040WSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113WSep 7 · 20:20J. Slawomir1.53117115113A. Krezel2.2381181152WSep 7 · 18:45M. Karpiuk2.10671151J. Slawomir1.6011117113WSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113WSep 7 · 17:10J. Slawomir1.5481111113A. Staniczek2.25117781WSep 7 · 16:00J. Slawomir1.261111113D. Maszczynski3.402990WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491
Z. Nocun10
LSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171WSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 7 · 02:10Z. Nocun1.5011115962G. Mucha2.50581111113LSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192WSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113LSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113LSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143LSep 6 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.50121171192G. Mucha2.501081113113WSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113
Upcoming Matches
J. Slawomir
Z. Nocun
Sep 9 · 22:40Z. Nocun1.66J. Skorupa2.05—Sep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.25M. Warzecha1.52—Sep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.66K. Gudzik2.01—Sep 10 · 02:20Z. Nocun1.34A. Staniczek2.85—Sep 10 · 03:00Z. Nocun1.11W. Stechly5.05—Sep 10 · 04:20Z. Nocun1.64J. Skorupa2.04—Sep 10 · 15:50Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 23:45Z. Nocun—M. Baran——Sep 11 · 02:10Z. Nocun—M. Lewczuk——
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