TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103061
Played Sep 9Finished
Janus Slawomir
Home
1.81
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
15131210114––––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 72.0% is still 72.0%
Graded at full timeJanus Slawomir to win
72.0%
72.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
15131210114––––
H2H Janus Slawomir 4–1 Jakub Skorupa Jakub Skorupa has won 1 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.81 (50%)
Slawomir
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-1 in 5
Slawomir
Correct
gap of 3 in 5, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Slawomir 1507 vs Skorupa 1349
Slawomir
Correct
both rated, 158 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Slawomir 80% vs Skorupa 40%
Slawomir
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Slawomir 90% vs Skorupa 30%
Slawomir
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Slawomir +1 · Skorupa -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Slawomir) · live re-read · sealed at 72% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSlawomir 1.81 / Skorupa 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Slawomir)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103061
Slawomir1.81
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite67% won 44 of 66
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it87% 32 of 37
Skorupa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog33% won 100 of 304
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 165
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 98
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeSlawomir4wins
AwaySkorupa1wins
4 of 5 to a deciderSlawomir leads 4–1, and 4 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSlawomirn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkorupa33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Slawomir2Skorupa3n = 5Skorupa took 3 of 5
S2Slawomir3Skorupa2n = 5Slawomir took 3 of 5
S3Slawomir2Skorupa3n = 5Skorupa took 3 of 5
S4Slawomir2Skorupa3n = 5Skorupa took 3 of 5
S5Slawomir4Skorupa0n = 4Slawomir took 4 of 4
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home480%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away120%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricSlawomirSkorupaSlawomir − SkorupaBasisWins41+3in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match45.649.6−4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSlawomirSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime77 / 133 vs 301 / 62657.9%48.1%77 / 133 vs 301 / 626Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.738.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SlawomirSlawomir 1.81/Skorupa 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.3%
Slawomir · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Slawomir won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 2 · 19:55J. Slawomir—118411113J. Skorupa—81111692
LAug 26 · 19:55J. Slawomir—1111841J. Skorupa—13911113
WAug 24 · 04:25J. Slawomir—4111412113J. Skorupa—117121492
WAug 17 · 06:45J. Slawomir—413414113J. Skorupa—1111111292
WAug 3 · 07:10J. Slawomir—1310116113J. Skorupa—111291192
J. Slawomir10
WSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113WSep 7 · 20:20J. Slawomir1.53117115113A. Krezel2.2381181152WSep 7 · 18:45M. Karpiuk2.10671151J. Slawomir1.6011117113WSep 7 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.405940J. Slawomir2.751111113WSep 7 · 17:10J. Slawomir1.5481111113A. Staniczek2.25117781WSep 7 · 16:00J. Slawomir1.261111113D. Maszczynski3.402990WSep 7 · 08:00J. Slawomir1.6511711113M. Machelski2.10811591WSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491WSep 7 · 05:35J. Slawomir1.121191110133A. Barton5.10411312112
J. Skorupa10
LSep 9 · 19:10A. Staniczek2.4261111173J. Skorupa1.461137151WSep 9 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.709101112102J. Skorupa2.001112810123WSep 8 · 01:30M. Krutak1.836850J. Skorupa1.831111113LSep 8 · 24:50H. Tkaczyk1.44139118143J. Skorupa2.631111811122LSep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.534101411113J. Skorupa2.38111212772WSep 7 · 22:30A. Kubiak1.73101250J. Skorupa2.001214113LSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.8311811113J. Skorupa1.83511381LSep 7 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.441111143J. Skorupa2.6396120LSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591
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