TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088275
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1012118115119––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:42 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Jakub Skorupa below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 11-9
Point 77 set 4, 11-9 — our read held Jakub Skorupa at 54.0%
77 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 6–6 Jakub Skorupa Dead even across their 12 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:42What took a side0 for · 3 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-6 in 12
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1527 vs Skorupa 1349
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 178 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Skorupa 20%
Lewczuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Skorupa 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Skorupa +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.57 / Skorupa 2.25
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Lewczuk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13088275
Lewczuk1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 166 of 239
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Skorupa2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 97 of 294
Down 0–1, comes back15% 24 of 161
Down 0–2, comes back8% 8 of 96
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk5wins
AwaySkorupa5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkorupa75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Skorupa4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk6Skorupa4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S3Lewczuk8Skorupa2n = 10Lewczuk took 8 of 10
S4Lewczuk1Skorupa5n = 6Skorupa took 5 of 6
S5Lewczuk1Skorupa3n = 4Skorupa took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukSkorupaL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.238.2+1.0per matchSweeps31+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime495 / 958 vs 298 / 61651.7%48.4%495 / 958 vs 298 / 616Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.57/Skorupa 2.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
61.7%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—114141222J. Skorupa—5111214113
WSep 6 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—1111113J. Skorupa—5860
WAug 31 · 22:30M. Lewczuk—81111113J. Skorupa—119831
WAug 31 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—1271114113J. Skorupa—101181672
LJun 18 · 23:55M. Lewczuk—81111992J. Skorupa—119911113
LJun 18 · 17:55M. Lewczuk—91111692J. Skorupa—114911113
WJun 18 · 03:55M. Lewczuk—1114113J. Skorupa—71260
WJun 17 · 21:55M. Lewczuk—1113113J. Skorupa—81190
LMay 5 · 23:30M. Lewczuk—114731J. Skorupa—61111113
LMay 5 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—712110J. Skorupa—1114133
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113LSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk3.0011119113H. Tkaczyk1.36651171WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132LSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113
J. Skorupa10
WSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123LSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113WSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791LSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
J. Skorupa
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.