TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088277
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1141311811911113
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:43 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 11-3
Point 92 set 5, 11-3 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 54.0%
92 points played in total.
H2H Artur Kubiak 31–17 Miroslaw Lewczuk Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 17 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:43What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kubiak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
31-17 in 48
Kubiak
Correct
gap of 14 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1364 vs Lewczuk 1544
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 180 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 20% vs Lewczuk 60%
Lewczuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 40% vs Lewczuk 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak +1 · Lewczuk +3
Lewczuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kubiak form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 1.73 / Lewczuk 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kubiak)-7.7pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13088277
Kubiak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite66% won 168 of 253
Up 2–0, closes it94% 79 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it83% 115 of 138
Lewczuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 60 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak8wins
AwayLewczuk2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderKubiak leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiak100%7 of 7
AwayLewczuk66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak7Lewczuk3n = 10Kubiak took 7 of 10
S2Kubiak6Lewczuk4n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S3Kubiak6Lewczuk4n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S4Kubiak2Lewczuk2n = 4split evenly
S5Kubiak3Lewczuk0n = 3Kubiak took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakLewczukK − LBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match37.830.7+7.1per matchSweeps42+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime511 / 920 vs 495 / 95755.5%51.7%511 / 920 vs 495 / 957Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukKubiak 1.73/Lewczuk 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Kubiak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 3 · 22:35A. Kubiak—911115133M. Lewczuk—116811112
WAug 3 · 15:00A. Kubiak—119811113M. Lewczuk—81111842
WJun 25 · 02:10A. Kubiak—1111113M. Lewczuk—6240
LJun 24 · 20:05A. Kubiak—128100M. Lewczuk—1411123
WJun 1 · 23:35A. Kubiak—11811153M. Lewczuk—5117131
WJun 1 · 17:35A. Kubiak—1111113M. Lewczuk—8880
WMar 28 · 02:10A. Kubiak—111189113M. Lewczuk—65111152
WMar 27 · 20:10A. Kubiak—1111113M. Lewczuk—4980
WMar 21 · 23:50A. Kubiak—1111113M. Lewczuk—6460
LMar 21 · 16:10A. Kubiak—10390M. Lewczuk—1211113
A. Kubiak10
LSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113WSep 4 · 18:25D. Pyrek1.71911101192A. Kubiak2.00116124113
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591WSep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk3.0011119113H. Tkaczyk1.36651171WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132LSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113WSep 6 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.44841111143G. Mucha2.63111174122
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