TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091625
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1012911118611––
Michal Krutak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:38 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Michal Krutak below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 78 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Artur Kubiak at 54.0%
78 points played in total.
H2H Artur Kubiak 9–15 Michal Krutak Artur Kubiak has won 9 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:38What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Krutak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-15 in 24
Krutak
Correct
gap of 6 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1380 vs Krutak 1419
Krutak
Correct
both rated, 39 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 40% vs Krutak 20%
Kubiak
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 40% vs Krutak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak +2 · Krutak +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (20%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 2.10 / Krutak 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Krutak)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13091625
Kubiak2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 72 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Krutak1.67
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak5wins
AwayKrutak5wins
2 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiak75%3 of 4
AwayKrutak66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak4Krutak6n = 10Krutak took 6 of 10
S2Kubiak6Krutak4n = 10Kubiak took 6 of 10
S3Kubiak8Krutak2n = 10Kubiak took 8 of 10
S4Kubiak4Krutak5n = 9Krutak took 5 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakKrutakKubiak − KrutakBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match38.838.5+0.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakKrutakBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 921 vs 195 / 33055.6%59.1%512 / 921 vs 195 / 330Avg sets wonper match2.12.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.639.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKubiak 2.10/Krutak 1.67
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.2%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 4 · 21:35A. Kubiak—12611113M. Krutak—1011551
WSep 4 · 15:35A. Kubiak—1111113M. Krutak—6970
LAug 4 · 01:25A. Kubiak—71111532M. Krutak—119811113
LAug 3 · 19:20A. Kubiak—711111062M. Krutak—119612113
WJul 27 · 22:55A. Kubiak—91111113M. Krutak—114461
LJul 27 · 16:55A. Kubiak—711851M. Krutak—11811113
LJul 21 · 24:50A. Kubiak—11111271M. Krutak—131310113
LJul 20 · 18:55A. Kubiak—1151361M. Krutak—91115113
WJun 29 · 23:20A. Kubiak—12511113M. Krutak—1011691
WJun 29 · 17:20A. Kubiak—91411113M. Krutak—1112781
A. Kubiak10
LSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113WSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113
M. Krutak10
WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072
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