TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088327
Played Sep 7Finished
Artur Kubiak
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
3111113911––––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.36
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 70.7% is still 70.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
70.7%
70.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArtur Kubiak above · Jacek Zelezik below
Set 1 · 3-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 58 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 70.7%
58 points played in total.
H2H Artur Kubiak 5–20 Jacek Zelezik Artur Kubiak has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-20 in 25
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kubiak 1369 vs Zelezik 1428
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 58 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kubiak 40% vs Zelezik 60%
Zelezik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kubiak 30% vs Zelezik 50%
Zelezik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kubiak -1 · Zelezik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 74% — Strong (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zelezik form (60%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKubiak 3.00 / Zelezik 1.36
Signal prob.26% / 74%
Edge (Zelezik)+4.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13088327
Kubiak3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog35% won 72 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Zelezik1.36
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 179 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it82% 139 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKubiak2wins
AwayZelezik8wins
1 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 8–2, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKubiakn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayZelezik87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kubiak2Zelezik8n = 10Zelezik took 8 of 10
S2Kubiak3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S3Kubiak3Zelezik7n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S4Kubiak3Zelezik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricKubiakZelezikK − ZBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match28.938.3−9.4per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKubiakZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime512 / 922 vs 361 / 67055.5%53.9%512 / 922 vs 361 / 670Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.536.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikKubiak 3.00/Zelezik 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
73.6%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 24 · 22:50A. Kubiak—8680J. Zelezik—1111113
LAug 24 · 15:10A. Kubiak—5580J. Zelezik—1111113
LAug 10 · 22:50A. Kubiak—45120J. Zelezik—1111143
WAug 10 · 15:10A. Kubiak—41311113J. Zelezik—1111791
LJul 20 · 16:15A. Kubiak—116381J. Zelezik—61111113
LJun 23 · 01:30A. Kubiak—516471J. Zelezik—111411113
LJun 19 · 21:10A. Kubiak—1011221J. Zelezik—12611113
LJun 19 · 16:50A. Kubiak—109111252J. Zelezik—1211910113
LJun 7 · 02:45A. Kubiak—4950J. Zelezik—1111113
WJun 6 · 18:25A. Kubiak—11611113J. Zelezik—411791
A. Kubiak10
LSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:45C. Pawlik1.551111113A. Kubiak2.253350LSep 4 · 19:35A. Kubiak2.9051260J. Oracz1.351114113
J. Zelezik10
LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133
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