TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13087314
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 6
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
81111810121012––
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:29 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightno pick shipped
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Krutak above · Jacek Zelezik below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 10-12
Point 82 set 4, 10-12 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Michal Krutak 7–2 Jacek Zelezik Jacek Zelezik has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNo pick published
Sealed 12:29What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Krutak
Wrong
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1393 vs Zelezik 1455
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 62 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 0% vs Zelezik 60%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 30% vs Zelezik 60%
Zelezik
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak -5 · Zelezik +2
Krutak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (0%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.83 / Zelezik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Krutak)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13087314
Krutak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Zelezik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeKrutak7wins
AwayZelezik2wins
5 of 9 to a deciderKrutak leads 7–2, and 5 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak100%3 of 3
AwayZelezik33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak3Zelezik6n = 9Zelezik took 6 of 9
S2Krutak5Zelezik4n = 9Krutak took 5 of 9
S3Krutak5Zelezik4n = 9Krutak took 5 of 9
S4Krutak6Zelezik1n = 7Krutak took 6 of 7
S5Krutak4Zelezik1n = 5Krutak took 4 of 5
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricKrutakZelezikK − ZBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match42.940.4+2.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime194 / 328 vs 360 / 66759.2%54%194 / 328 vs 360 / 667Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.836.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKrutak 1.83/Zelezik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LAug 1 · 24:45M. Krutak—8970J. Zelezik—1111113
WJul 31 · 18:45M. Krutak—271112113J. Zelezik—111131092
WJul 20 · 19:40M. Krutak—1611113J. Zelezik—14660
WJul 5 · 21:45M. Krutak—691111113J. Zelezik—11117992
WJul 5 · 17:45M. Krutak—811511113J. Zelezik—11811542
LMay 24 · 01:10M. Krutak—413111192J. Zelezik—111588113
WMay 23 · 19:10M. Krutak—1011126113J. Zelezik—129101162
WMay 15 · 24:20M. Krutak—111114113J. Zelezik—981691
WMay 14 · 20:20M. Krutak—11119113J. Zelezik—581181
M. Krutak10
WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072WSep 4 · 17:35M. Krutak2.60126146113J. Oracz1.411011121182WSep 4 · 16:25C. Pawlik1.60111385102M. Krutak2.157111111123
J. Zelezik10
LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132WSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 18:10J. Zelezik1.67461111113J. Skorupa2.1011116442WSep 6 · 16:35J. Zelezik2.20711711113G. Mucha1.6111811562
Upcoming Matches
M. Krutak
Sep 7 · 17:45M. Krutak1.73A. Kubiak2.00—Sep 7 · 18:30M. Krutak1.61M. Lewczuk2.20—Sep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.83J. Skorupa1.83—Sep 7 · 21:45M. Krutak1.67A. Kubiak2.10—Sep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.63H. Tkaczyk1.44—Sep 7 · 23:30M. Krutak1.91J. Zelezik1.80—Sep 8 · 24:10M. Krutak1.61M. Lewczuk2.20—Sep 8 · 01:30M. Krutak1.83J. Skorupa1.83—
J. Zelezik
Sep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25H. Tkaczyk1.57—Sep 7 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.36A. Kubiak3.00—Sep 7 · 19:40J. Zelezik1.73M. Lewczuk2.00—Sep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.73J. Skorupa2.00—Sep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73M. Lewczuk2.00—Sep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.80M. Krutak1.91—Sep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36A. Kubiak3.00—Sep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.25H. Tkaczyk1.57—
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