TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088274
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
911117118911311
Michal Krutak
Away
1.62
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:39 and never touched — 55.2% is still 55.2%
Graded at full timeMichal Krutak to win
55.2%
55.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Michal Krutak below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 3-11
Point 91 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Michal Krutak at 55.2%
91 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 1–6 Michal Krutak Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:39What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Krutak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Krutak
Correct
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1534 vs Krutak 1429
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 80% vs Krutak 40%
Lewczuk
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Krutak 30%
Lewczuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk +1 · Krutak +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 2.20 / Krutak 1.61
Signal prob.44% / 57%
Edge (Krutak)-1.2pp (anti-value)
TT Elite Series · #13088274
Lewczuk2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 60 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Krutak1.61
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeLewczuk1wins
AwayKrutak6wins
1 of 7 to a deciderKrutak leads 6–1, and 1 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczukn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKrutak100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk2Krutak5n = 7Krutak took 5 of 7
S2Lewczuk2Krutak5n = 7Krutak took 5 of 7
S3Lewczuk4Krutak3n = 7Lewczuk took 4 of 7
S4Lewczuk1Krutak5n = 6Krutak took 5 of 6
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away114%
1–3Four sets, away457%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricLewczukKrutakL − KBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set25−3of 7Avg pointsper match35.339.9−4.6per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukKrutakBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 959 vs 196 / 33151.7%59.2%496 / 959 vs 196 / 331Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.339.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakLewczuk 2.20/Krutak 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
56.5%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 10 · 17:45M. Lewczuk—7460M. Krutak—1111113
LAug 4 · 24:10M. Lewczuk—13711982M. Krutak—1111411113
LAug 3 · 20:30M. Lewczuk—1081171M. Krutak—12117113
WMar 20 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—111110133M. Krutak—7712111
LMar 20 · 17:50M. Lewczuk—911561M. Krutak—11911113
LFeb 21 · 01:25M. Lewczuk—781161M. Krutak—11118113
LFeb 20 · 21:45M. Lewczuk—7911111M. Krutak—11112133
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591LSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk3.0011119113H. Tkaczyk1.36651171WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132LSep 6 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.109370Z. Nocun1.671111113
M. Krutak10
WSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113WSep 4 · 18:45M. Krutak2.10311712113A. Zmijewski1.60118111072
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