TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088271
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
115811113118––
Jakub Skorupa
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:37 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timeJakub Skorupa to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Krutak above · Jakub Skorupa below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 68 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Jakub Skorupa at 71.2%
68 points played in total.
H2H Michal Krutak 2–4 Jakub Skorupa Michal Krutak has won 2 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:37What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skorupa
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-4 in 6
Skorupa
Wrong
gap of 2 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1443 vs Skorupa 1338
Krutak
Correct
both rated, 106 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 60% vs Skorupa 20%
Krutak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 30% vs Skorupa 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak +3 · Skorupa -2
Krutak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Skorupa) · live re-read · sealed at 71% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skorupa form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.83 / Skorupa 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Skorupa)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13088271
Krutak1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
Skorupa1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeKrutak2wins
AwaySkorupa4wins
2 of 6 to a deciderSkorupa leads 4–2, and 2 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak66.7%2 of 3
AwaySkorupa100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak3Skorupa3n = 6split evenly
S2Krutak2Skorupa4n = 6Skorupa took 4 of 6
S3Krutak5Skorupa1n = 6Krutak took 5 of 6
S4Krutak2Skorupa3n = 5Skorupa took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home117%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away233%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 6 meetings
MetricKrutakSkorupaK − SBasisWins24−2in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match36.539.8−3.3per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakSkorupaBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 332 vs 298 / 61859.3%48.2%197 / 332 vs 298 / 618Avg sets wonper match2.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkorupaKrutak 1.83/Skorupa 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Skorupa · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LMay 24 · 24:00M. Krutak—821341J. Skorupa—111111113
LMay 23 · 16:00M. Krutak—11611662J. Skorupa—711911113
LMar 21 · 03:45M. Krutak—751161J. Skorupa—11119113
WMar 20 · 19:25M. Krutak—1211113J. Skorupa—10970
WFeb 20 · 02:55M. Krutak—11914113J. Skorupa—2111271
LFeb 19 · 20:55M. Krutak—61171192J. Skorupa—118115113
M. Krutak10
WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak1.731011551A. Kubiak1.9812611113LSep 4 · 20:00M. Krutak1.7561090D. Pyrek1.951112113
J. Skorupa10
LSep 7 · 19:20H. Tkaczyk1.441111143J. Skorupa2.6396120LSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591LSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111LSep 7 · 01:25J. Skorupa1.91115121382G. Mucha1.803111015113LSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:55Z. Nocun1.67514651J. Skorupa2.10111211113WSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113LSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762WSep 6 · 19:20J. Skorupa1.8351111113G. Mucha1.83116791
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