TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105500
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
2.46
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 7
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117115211117––
Krystian Gudzik
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 17:49 and never touched — 59.5% is still 59.5%
Graded at full timeKrystian Gudzik to win
59.5%
59.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
65 points played in total.
Set by set
117115211117––
H2H Adam Staniczek 1–6 Krystian Gudzik Adam Staniczek has won 1 of their 7 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Gudzik beat Staniczek 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 17:49What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (63%)
Gudzik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-6 in 7
Gudzik
Wrong
gap of 5 in 7, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1204 vs Gudzik 1430
Gudzik
Wrong
both rated, 226 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 0% vs Gudzik 60%
Gudzik
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 10% vs Gudzik 60%
Gudzik
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek -5 · Gudzik -2
Staniczek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 67% — Clear lean (leans Gudzik) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (0%) is below what odds imply (41%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 2.46 / Gudzik 1.44
Signal prob.33% / 67%
Edge (Gudzik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13105500
Staniczek2.46
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 7
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog26% won 115 of 445
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 282
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 210
Gudzik1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite64% won 29 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it89% 23 of 26
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeStaniczek1wins
AwayGudzik6wins
3 of 7 to a deciderGudzik leads 6–1, and 3 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek25%1 of 4
AwayGudzik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek4Gudzik3n = 7Staniczek took 4 of 7
S2Staniczek3Gudzik4n = 7Gudzik took 4 of 7
S3Staniczek2Gudzik5n = 7Gudzik took 5 of 7
S4Staniczek2Gudzik4n = 6Gudzik took 4 of 6
S5Staniczek0Gudzik3n = 3Gudzik took 3 of 3
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home114%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away343%
1–3Four sets, away229%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricStaniczekGudzikS − GBasisWins16−5in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match40.343.4−3.1per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekGudzikBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 1009 vs 46 / 8836%52.3%363 / 1009 vs 46 / 88Avg sets wonper match1.61.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.736.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
GudzikStaniczek 2.46/Gudzik 1.44
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
67.1%
Gudzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Staniczek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek—11138672K. Gudzik—8111111113
LSep 3 · 01:30A. Staniczek—1110931K. Gudzik—81211113
LSep 2 · 19:30A. Staniczek—37100K. Gudzik—1111123
LAug 12 · 23:45A. Staniczek—91111792K. Gudzik—119611113
LAug 12 · 15:50A. Staniczek—111291292K. Gudzik—5141110113
LAug 9 · 23:45A. Staniczek—61116101K. Gudzik—11318123
WAug 9 · 15:50A. Staniczek—11811113K. Gudzik—411991
A. Staniczek10
LSep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.608640M. Warzecha1.221111113LSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123LSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.423930J. Skorupa1.461111113LSep 9 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.581211113A. Staniczek2.2510850LSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581LSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113WSep 9 · 19:10A. Staniczek2.4261111173J. Skorupa1.461137151LSep 9 · 18:20Z. Nocun1.3711112113A. Staniczek2.70671171LSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670
K. Gudzik10
WSep 10 · 03:40K. Gudzik1.8011911133J. Skorupa1.847119111LSep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.47111145113K. Gudzik2.5066111182LSep 10 · 01:30Z. Nocun1.85911911113K. Gudzik1.8011311792WSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:55K. Gudzik1.85136119113J. Skorupa1.85111161142WSep 9 · 20:45A. Staniczek2.5011138672K. Gudzik1.478111111113LSep 9 · 19:30Z. Nocun1.75311127133K. Gudzik1.901181011112WSep 9 · 17:55J. Slawomir1.86101381192K. Gudzik1.801211116113LSep 6 · 02:20K. Gudzik2.806750J. Oracz1.391111113
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