TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104856
Played Sep 10Finished
Adam Staniczek
Home
3.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
6111210811511––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.29
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:09 and never touched — 60.9% is still 60.9%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
60.9%
60.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAdam Staniczek above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 12-10
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 74 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 60.9%
74 points played in total.
H2H Adam Staniczek 15–83 Miroslaw Lewczuk Adam Staniczek has won 15 of their 98 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:09What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.28 (73%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
15-83 in 98
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 68 in 98, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Staniczek 1228 vs Lewczuk 1464
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 236 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Staniczek 40% vs Lewczuk 80%
Lewczuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Staniczek 20% vs Lewczuk 60%
Lewczuk
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Staniczek +1 · Lewczuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 61% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (29%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStaniczek 3.50 / Lewczuk 1.28
Signal prob.23% / 78%
Edge (Lewczuk)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13104856
Staniczek3.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog26% won 116 of 453
Down 0–1, comes back11% 32 of 288
Down 0–2, comes back3% 6 of 215
Lewczuk1.28
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 171 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it83% 126 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStaniczek3wins
AwayLewczuk7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStaniczek100%3 of 3
AwayLewczuk100%7 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Staniczek3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S2Staniczek3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S3Staniczek3Lewczuk7n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Staniczek1Lewczuk3n = 4Lewczuk took 3 of 4
S5Staniczek2Lewczuk1n = 3Staniczek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricStaniczekLewczukS − LBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match31.537.9−6.4per matchSweeps15−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStaniczekLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 1012 vs 492 / 95936%51.3%364 / 1012 vs 492 / 959Avg sets wonper match1.62.0per matchAvg pointsper match33.736.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukStaniczek 3.50/Lewczuk 1.28
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
77.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 01:30A. Staniczek—91212942M. Lewczuk—11101011113
WAug 27 · 19:30A. Staniczek—1311123M. Lewczuk—118100
WAug 20 · 24:35A. Staniczek—111169113M. Lewczuk—49111152
WAug 19 · 18:30A. Staniczek—118411113M. Lewczuk—81111972
LAug 14 · 04:20A. Staniczek—981151M. Lewczuk—11113113
LAug 13 · 18:45A. Staniczek—6440M. Lewczuk—1111113
LAug 7 · 02:10A. Staniczek—811130M. Lewczuk—1113153
LAug 6 · 23:05A. Staniczek—95130M. Lewczuk—1111153
LJun 24 · 21:45A. Staniczek—9660M. Lewczuk—1111113
LJun 24 · 17:45A. Staniczek—4540M. Lewczuk—1111113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 10 · 18:10M. Baran1.508101141A. Staniczek2.5011127113LSep 10 · 16:55Z. Nocun1.401111113A. Staniczek2.759680LSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110WSep 10 · 04:40A. Staniczek2.4611112113K. Gudzik1.44751171LSep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.608640M. Warzecha1.221111113LSep 10 · 02:20A. Staniczek2.85881112102Z. Nocun1.341111310123LSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:30A. Staniczek2.423930J. Skorupa1.461111113LSep 9 · 22:20J. Slawomir1.581211113A. Staniczek2.2510850LSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:35M. Baran1.8089111492M. Lewczuk1.911111512113WSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113WSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113LSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392LSep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.8611811133M. Lewczuk1.801119111LSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.251411113A. Skupinski3.7512990
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