TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103794
Played Sep 10Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119116811511711
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:47 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Delikatny above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 90 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 54.0%
90 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Delikatny 8–11 Miroslaw Lewczuk Kamil Delikatny has won 8 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 10h before this match
Delikatny beat Lewczuk 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-11 in 19
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 3 in 19, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1351 vs Lewczuk 1447
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 96 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 60% vs Lewczuk 40%
Delikatny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 50% vs Lewczuk 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny +1 · Lewczuk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (56%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.91 / Lewczuk 1.80
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Lewczuk)+2.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13103794
Delikatny1.91
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Lewczuk1.80
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite69% won 168 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDelikatny6wins
AwayLewczuk4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderDelikatny leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDelikatny100%4 of 4
AwayLewczuk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny4Lewczuk6n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Delikatny6Lewczuk4n = 10Delikatny took 6 of 10
S3Delikatny5Lewczuk5n = 10split evenly
S4Delikatny3Lewczuk2n = 5Delikatny took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricDelikatnyLewczukD − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match34.132.6+1.5per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime232 / 483 vs 492 / 95848%51.4%232 / 483 vs 492 / 958Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.636.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukDelikatny 1.91/Lewczuk 1.80
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 16:15K. Delikatny—1111113M. Lewczuk—6680
LAug 14 · 24:20K. Delikatny—9590M. Lewczuk—1111113
WAug 13 · 20:20K. Delikatny—1151011113M. Lewczuk—81112772
LOct 29 · 05:40K. Delikatny—6660M. Lewczuk—1111113
WOct 28 · 23:40K. Delikatny—1111113M. Lewczuk—8370
WOct 8 · 03:55K. Delikatny—1111113M. Lewczuk—9460
LOct 7 · 21:55K. Delikatny—911991M. Lewczuk—11711113
WAug 15 · 24:20K. Delikatny—761111113M. Lewczuk—11115752
WAug 14 · 19:30K. Delikatny—41315113M. Lewczuk—11111381
LAug 14 · 01:30K. Delikatny—211941M. Lewczuk—11311113
K. Delikatny10
WSep 10 · 24:35K. Delikatny2.201111113M. Baran1.618730LSep 9 · 23:20K. Delikatny2.2011761192A. Zmijewski1.61811117113WSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113WSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162LSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113LSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392LSep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.8611811133M. Lewczuk1.801119111LSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.251411113A. Skupinski3.7512990LSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.7311811962M. Baran2.00911711113LSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171LSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113
Upcoming Matches
K. Delikatny
Nothing scheduled
M. Lewczuk1 of 10 neutral
Sep 10 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 10 · 19:20M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——Sep 10 · 20:05M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 10 · 21:00M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 22:35M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 23:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 11 · 01:25M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——Sep 11 · 02:10M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——
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