TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103833
Played Sep 10Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
7.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911411211––––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.07
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:56 and never touched — 90.5% is still 90.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
90.5%
90.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Barton above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 2-11
Point 48 set 3, 2-11 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 90.5%
48 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Barton 0–11 Miroslaw Lewczuk Aleksander Barton has won 0 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:56What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.07 (88%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-11 in 11
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 11 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1086 vs Lewczuk 1443
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 357 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 40% vs Lewczuk 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 30% vs Lewczuk 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Lewczuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 91% — Strong (leans Lewczuk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (93%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 7.50 / Lewczuk 1.07
Signal prob.10% / 91%
Edge (Lewczuk)+3.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13103833
Barton7.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 127
Lewczuk1.07
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite69% won 168 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayLewczuk10wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBartonn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLewczuk100%9 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S2Barton0Lewczuk10n = 10Lewczuk took 10 of 10
S3Barton1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away880%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonLewczukB − LBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match23.335.7−12.4per matchSweeps08−83–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime84 / 393 vs 492 / 95821.4%51.4%84 / 393 vs 492 / 958Avg sets wonper match1.22.0per matchAvg pointsper match31.236.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukBarton 7.50/Lewczuk 1.07
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 28 · 03:55A. Barton—12571172M. Lewczuk—1011112113
LAug 21 · 24:45A. Barton—6680M. Lewczuk—1111113
LAug 4 · 01:00A. Barton—11040M. Lewczuk—1112113
LAug 3 · 18:55A. Barton—10380M. Lewczuk—1211113
LMay 18 · 21:10A. Barton—9670M. Lewczuk—1111113
LMay 11 · 22:25A. Barton—6950M. Lewczuk—1111113
LMay 4 · 22:25A. Barton—8980M. Lewczuk—1111113
LFeb 7 · 01:25A. Barton—341171M. Lewczuk—11119113
LFeb 6 · 21:45A. Barton—81230M. Lewczuk—1114113
LOct 29 · 24:30A. Barton—73100M. Lewczuk—1111123
A. Barton10
WSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113LSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113LSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392LSep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.8611811133M. Lewczuk1.801119111LSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.251411113A. Skupinski3.7512990LSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.7311811962M. Baran2.00911711113LSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171LSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113
Upcoming Matches
A. Barton
M. Lewczuk
Sep 10 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 10 · 19:20M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——Sep 10 · 20:05M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——Sep 10 · 21:00M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 22:35M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 23:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 11 · 01:25M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——Sep 11 · 02:10M. Lewczuk—Z. Nocun——
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