TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102688
Played Sep 9Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
119811117911611
Mateusz Baran
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 06:46 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Mateusz Baran below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 94 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Mateusz Baran at 58.2%
94 points played in total.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 06:46What took a side1 for · 2 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Lewczuk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1479 vs Baran 1395
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 84 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 40% vs Baran 60%
Baran
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Baran 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Baran +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 42% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.73 / Baran 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 46%
Edge (Lewczuk)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102688
Lewczuk1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite69% won 168 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Baran2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 18 of 45
Down 0–1, comes back31% 9 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime494 / 958 vs 58 / 10351.6%56.3%494 / 958 vs 58 / 103Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.340.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.73/Baran 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.5%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Baran won
Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171LSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113LSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.534101411113J. Skorupa2.38111212772LSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102LSep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk3.006101181H. Tkaczyk1.3611124113WSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892LSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591
M. Baran10
WSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 16:55M. Baran2.00114118123A. Fomin1.73711611102LSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk
Sep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 9 · 21:45M. Lewczuk1.80M. Baran1.86—Sep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10A. Zmijewski1.67—Sep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Lewczuk1.07A. Barton7.50—Sep 10 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.80K. Delikatny1.91—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 10 · 19:20M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——
M. Baran
Sep 9 · 20:05M. Baran2.20A. Zmijewski1.61—Sep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.86M. Lewczuk1.80—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.20A. Fomin1.61—Sep 9 · 23:45M. Baran1.36A. Barton3.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Baran1.67K. Delikatny2.10—Sep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.17A. Zmijewski1.57—Sep 10 · 15:50M. Baran—Z. Nocun——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Baran—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 18:10M. Baran—A. Staniczek——Sep 10 · 18:55M. Baran—K. Gudzik——
Event Chatroom
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