TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102790
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181012111511––
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:17 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeMateusz Baran to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Delikatny above · Mateusz Baran below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 1-11
Set 4 · 5-11
Point 69 set 4, 5-11 — our read held Mateusz Baran at 54.0%
69 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Delikatny 1–1 Mateusz Baran Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:17What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Baran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1340 vs Baran 1408
Baran
Correct
both rated, 68 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Baran 80%
Baran
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 50% vs Baran 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny +2 · Baran +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Baran) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 2.00 / Baran 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 55%
Edge (Baran)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102790
Delikatny2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Baran1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 38 of 54
Up 2–0, closes it100% 10 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it79% 23 of 29
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeDelikatny1wins
AwayBaran1wins
2 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 2 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricDelikatnyBaranD − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match44.045.5−1.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 477 vs 59 / 10448%56.7%229 / 477 vs 59 / 104Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.540.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BaranDelikatny 2.00/Baran 1.73
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.5%
Baran · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 6 · 01:10K. Delikatny—111196113M. Baran—66111182
LAug 5 · 17:30K. Delikatny—12731172M. Baran—1011116113
K. Delikatny10
WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152WSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113LSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391LSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113WSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113
M. Baran10
WSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.7311811962M. Baran2.00911711113WSep 9 · 16:55M. Baran2.00114118123A. Fomin1.73711611102LSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 1 · 02:20M. Machelski2.0511030M. Baran1.681112113WSep 1 · 01:35A. Staniczek1.9515135852M. Baran1.7513111111113LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231LAug 31 · 22:50J. Zelezik1.5941111113M. Baran2.17115991LAug 31 · 21:15A. Barton3.4011311113M. Baran1.26711791WAug 31 · 19:50M. Machelski2.006990M. Baran1.701111113WAug 31 · 18:30D. Maszczynski2.9511771162M. Baran1.33411115113
Upcoming Matches
K. Delikatny
M. Baran
Sep 9 · 20:05M. Baran2.20A. Zmijewski1.61—Sep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.86M. Lewczuk1.80—Sep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.20A. Fomin1.61—Sep 9 · 23:45M. Baran1.36A. Barton3.00—Sep 10 · 24:35M. Baran1.73K. Delikatny2.00—Sep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.17A. Zmijewski1.57—Sep 10 · 15:50M. Baran—Z. Nocun——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Baran—M. Lewczuk——Sep 10 · 18:10M. Baran—A. Staniczek——Sep 10 · 18:55M. Baran—K. Gudzik——
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