TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13093556
Played Sep 9Finished
Henryk Tkaczyk
Home
1.32
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611711––––
Kamil Delikatny
Away
2.90
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:32 and never touched — 59.4% is still 59.4%
Graded at full timeHenryk Tkaczyk to win
59.4%
59.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
54 points played in total.
Set by set
811611711––––
H2H Henryk Tkaczyk 20–17 Kamil Delikatny Kamil Delikatny has won 17 of their 37 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Tkaczyk beat Delikatny 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:32What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.32 (69%)
Tkaczyk
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-17 in 37
Tkaczyk
Wrong
gap of 3 in 37, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Tkaczyk 1635 vs Delikatny 1335
Tkaczyk
Wrong
both rated, 301 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Tkaczyk 100% vs Delikatny 40%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Tkaczyk 90% vs Delikatny 30%
Tkaczyk
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Tkaczyk +5 · Delikatny -1
Tkaczyk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 72% — Strong (leans Tkaczyk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Tkaczyk form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (76%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsTkaczyk 1.32 / Delikatny 2.90
Signal prob.72% / 29%
Edge (Tkaczyk)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13093556
Tkaczyk1.32
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 7
oldest → newest100%takes the first set · 10 of 10
As favourite69% won 392 of 567
Up 2–0, closes it94% 221 of 235
Up 1–0, closes it85% 304 of 357
Delikatny2.90
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog41% won 47 of 115
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 53
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 35
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeTkaczyk2wins
AwayDelikatny8wins
Delikatny leads 8–2.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeTkaczyk50%2 of 4
AwayDelikatny100%6 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Tkaczyk4Delikatny6n = 10Delikatny took 6 of 10
S2Tkaczyk3Delikatny7n = 10Delikatny took 7 of 10
S3Tkaczyk2Delikatny8n = 10Delikatny took 8 of 10
S4Tkaczyk1Delikatny4n = 5Delikatny took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricTkaczykDelikatnyT − DBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match27.034.9−7.9per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricTkaczykDelikatnyBasisWin rate · lifetime1003 / 1502 vs 226 / 47166.8%48%1003 / 1502 vs 226 / 471Avg sets wonper match2.41.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.634.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
TkaczykTkaczyk 1.32/Delikatny 2.90
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.5%
Tkaczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 8 · 18:20H. Tkaczyk—1211113K. Delikatny—10650
LAug 5 · 01:30H. Tkaczyk—2650K. Delikatny—1111113
LAug 4 · 19:30H. Tkaczyk—9560K. Delikatny—1111113
LJul 29 · 04:40H. Tkaczyk—116971K. Delikatny—81111113
LJul 28 · 22:40H. Tkaczyk—71060K. Delikatny—1112113
WJul 9 · 01:30H. Tkaczyk—13911113K. Delikatny—1111591
LJul 8 · 19:30H. Tkaczyk—116571K. Delikatny—41111113
LJun 12 · 03:05H. Tkaczyk—4830K. Delikatny—1111113
LJun 11 · 21:05H. Tkaczyk—511771K. Delikatny—11811113
LMay 22 · 02:30H. Tkaczyk—711741K. Delikatny—11711113
H. Tkaczyk10
WSep 9 · 24:45H. Tkaczyk1.221111113M. Machelski3.558640WSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113WSep 8 · 21:30M. Brunner3.257117161H. Tkaczyk1.3011611183WSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181WSep 8 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.0611811113A. Barton6.50711641WSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771WSep 8 · 24:50H. Tkaczyk1.44139118143J. Skorupa2.631111811122WSep 7 · 23:50A. Kubiak2.63611581H. Tkaczyk1.4411211113
K. Delikatny10
LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152LSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391LSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113WSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113LSep 8 · 20:20M. Brunner1.901211113K. Delikatny1.8010460LSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113LSep 8 · 18:20K. Delikatny3.0010650H. Tkaczyk1.331211113LAug 14 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.894790J. Cyndera1.781111113LAug 14 · 03:05A. Staniczek1.9511117113K. Delikatny1.75881161
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