TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088272
Played Sep 7Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
511911119118119
Jacek Zelezik
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:38 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Jacek Zelezik below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-9
Point 95 set 5, 11-9 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 57.5%
95 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 10–12 Jacek Zelezik Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 10 of their 22 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:38What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Zelezik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-12 in 22
Zelezik
Wrong
gap of 2 in 22, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1519 vs Zelezik 1440
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 60% vs Zelezik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 50% vs Zelezik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -1 · Zelezik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 2.00 / Zelezik 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Zelezik)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13088272
Lewczuk2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 60 of 180
Down 0–1, comes back18% 20 of 112
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 69
Zelezik1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 179 of 255
Up 2–0, closes it96% 106 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it82% 139 of 169
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk3wins
AwayZelezik7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk33.3%2 of 6
AwayZelezik75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Zelezik4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S3Lewczuk4Zelezik6n = 10Zelezik took 6 of 10
S4Lewczuk2Zelezik6n = 8Zelezik took 6 of 8
S5Lewczuk1Zelezik2n = 3Zelezik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukZelezikL − ZBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.239.7−1.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukZelezikBasisWin rate · lifetime496 / 960 vs 362 / 67151.7%54%496 / 960 vs 362 / 671Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.336.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikLewczuk 2.00/Zelezik 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54.1%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 6 · 22:10M. Lewczuk—951281J. Zelezik—111110113
WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—1111119113J. Zelezik—97131132
WSep 2 · 21:45M. Lewczuk—1111113J. Zelezik—4560
LSep 2 · 17:45M. Lewczuk—1111711152J. Zelezik—861113173
LAug 20 · 23:55M. Lewczuk—17111472J. Zelezik—1111812113
LAug 20 · 17:55M. Lewczuk—114751J. Zelezik—71111113
LAug 20 · 01:45M. Lewczuk—1199101J. Zelezik—61111123
LAug 19 · 16:15M. Lewczuk—1171381J. Zelezik—41115113
LJun 27 · 02:20M. Lewczuk—51270J. Zelezik—1114113
WJun 26 · 20:20M. Lewczuk—51111113J. Zelezik—118571
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591LSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk3.0011119113H. Tkaczyk1.36651171WSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360WSep 7 · 24:35M. Lewczuk2.00511113113Z. Nocun1.7311671192LSep 6 · 23:20M. Lewczuk1.44101111752G. Mucha2.63128411113LSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:20M. Lewczuk1.57114141222J. Skorupa2.255111214113WSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132
J. Zelezik10
WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391LSep 6 · 23:45J. Zelezik2.10811951Z. Nocun1.6711911113WSep 6 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.80111110113M. Lewczuk1.91951281LSep 6 · 21:00J. Zelezik2.209460G. Mucha1.611111113LSep 6 · 19:40M. Lewczuk1.911111119113J. Zelezik1.8097131132
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