TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097950
Played Sep 9Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
118117711117––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:29 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Artur Zmijewski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 73 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 60.1%
73 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 3–3 Artur Zmijewski Dead even across their 6 meetings.
Last 6 · 3–3Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:29What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Zmijewski
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-3 in 6
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1488 vs Zmijewski 1516
Zmijewski
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 20% vs Zmijewski 80%
Zmijewski
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 40% vs Zmijewski 80%
Zmijewski
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -2 · Zmijewski +3
Zmijewski
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 2.10 / Zmijewski 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Zmijewski)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13097950
Lewczuk2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog33% won 62 of 187
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 118
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 74
Zmijewski1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite70% won 50 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLewczuk3wins
AwayZmijewski3wins
1 of 6 to a deciderLevel at 3–3, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk75%3 of 4
AwayZmijewskin = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk4Zmijewski2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S2Lewczuk4Zmijewski2n = 6Lewczuk took 4 of 6
S3Lewczuk2Zmijewski4n = 6Zmijewski took 4 of 6
S4Lewczuk0Zmijewski3n = 3Zmijewski took 3 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home233%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home117%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away233%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLewczukZmijewskiL − ZBasisWins330in 6 meetingsFirst set42+2of 6Avg pointsper match33.035.5−2.5per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime498 / 966 vs 66 / 11051.6%60%498 / 966 vs 66 / 110Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.338.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiLewczuk 2.10/Zmijewski 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.6%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
WSep 3 · 24:10M. Lewczuk—1111113A. Zmijewski—9470
WSep 2 · 20:30M. Lewczuk—1111910113A. Zmijewski—86111282
LAug 21 · 04:20M. Lewczuk—1011351A. Zmijewski—12711113
LAug 20 · 18:45M. Lewczuk—119861A. Zmijewski—91111113
LAug 19 · 21:20M. Lewczuk—2640A. Zmijewski—1111113
WAug 19 · 15:25M. Lewczuk—1116113A. Zmijewski—91490
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113LSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.534101411113J. Skorupa2.38111212772LSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102LSep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk3.006101181H. Tkaczyk1.3611124113WSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892LSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:20M. Lewczuk1.57101111113J. Skorupa2.25128591LSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:25M. Lewczuk3.0011119113H. Tkaczyk1.36651171
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560LSep 5 · 02:20A. Zmijewski2.4041311772J. Oracz1.501111811113WSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113WSep 5 · 24:00D. Pyrek2.313450A. Zmijewski1.521111113WSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110WSep 4 · 22:00A. Zmijewski1.701191211113C. Pawlik1.9551114772
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.73M. Baran2.00—Sep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.25A. Skupinski3.75—Sep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 9 · 21:45M. Lewczuk1.78M. Baran1.85—Sep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10A. Zmijewski1.67—Sep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Lewczuk1.07A. Barton7.50—Sep 10 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.91K. Delikatny1.80—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——
A. Zmijewski
Sep 9 · 16:35A. Zmijewski1.17A. Skupinski4.50—Sep 9 · 17:20A. Zmijewski1.53K. Delikatny2.38—Sep 9 · 19:20A. Zmijewski1.73A. Fomin2.00—Sep 9 · 20:05A. Zmijewski1.61M. Baran2.20—Sep 9 · 21:00A. Zmijewski1.13A. Barton5.50—Sep 9 · 22:35A. Zmijewski1.67M. Lewczuk2.10—Sep 9 · 23:20A. Zmijewski1.38K. Delikatny2.65—Sep 10 · 01:25A. Zmijewski1.73A. Fomin2.00—Sep 10 · 02:10A. Zmijewski1.57M. Baran2.17—
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