TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103465
Played Sep 9Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
116117811811611
Kamil Delikatny
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:28 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Barton above · Kamil Delikatny below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 6-11
Point 90 set 5, 6-11 — our read held Kamil Delikatny at 58.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Barton 5–7 Kamil Delikatny Aleksander Barton has won 5 of their 12 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:28What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Delikatny
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-7 in 12
Delikatny
Correct
gap of 2 in 12, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Barton 1032 vs Delikatny 1341
Delikatny
Correct
both rated, 309 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Delikatny 60%
Delikatny
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 20% vs Delikatny 40%
Delikatny
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton -1 · Delikatny +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 68% — Clear lean (leans Delikatny) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (20%) is below what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 2.63 / Delikatny 1.44
Signal prob.32% / 68%
Edge (Delikatny)+3.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103465
Barton2.63
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 127
Delikatny1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 56 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBarton4wins
AwayDelikatny6wins
3 of 10 to a deciderDelikatny leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBarton57.1%4 of 7
AwayDelikatny100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Barton7Delikatny3n = 10Barton took 7 of 10
S2Barton5Delikatny5n = 10split evenly
S3Barton3Delikatny7n = 10Delikatny took 7 of 10
S4Barton2Delikatny4n = 6Delikatny took 4 of 6
S5Barton1Delikatny2n = 3Delikatny took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricBartonDelikatnyB − DBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.137.1−1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonDelikatnyBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 391 vs 230 / 48021.2%47.9%83 / 391 vs 230 / 480Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match31.134.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DelikatnyBarton 2.63/Delikatny 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
67.7%
Delikatny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 04:40A. Barton—11129113K. Delikatny—4101191
WSep 8 · 22:40A. Barton—1111113K. Delikatny—6720
LAug 6 · 02:45A. Barton—111171092K. Delikatny—261112113
LAug 5 · 23:05A. Barton—127471K. Delikatny—101111113
LJun 10 · 01:30A. Barton—96110K. Delikatny—1111133
LJun 9 · 19:30A. Barton—12118782K. Delikatny—1091111113
LFeb 6 · 02:10A. Barton—51380K. Delikatny—1115113
WFeb 5 · 18:30A. Barton—1111113K. Delikatny—9760
LNov 6 · 05:40A. Barton—951161K. Delikatny—11116113
WNov 5 · 23:40A. Barton—135412113K. Delikatny—1111111092
A. Barton10
LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113LSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 19:55J. Michalik1.17713711113A. Barton4.05111111882LSep 8 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.0611811113A. Barton6.50711641
K. Delikatny10
WSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162LSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152WSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113LSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113
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