TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13097807
Played Sep 8Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
1.17
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
7111311711118118
Aleksander Barton
Away
4.05
At publish
Lost last 10Form at publish
0–10Last 10Lost last 10
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:49 and never touched — 79.9% is still 79.9%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
79.9%
79.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
98 points played in total.
Set by set
7111311711118118
H2H Jerzy Michalik 20–5 Aleksander Barton Aleksander Barton has won 5 of their 25 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:49What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.17 (78%)
Michalik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-5 in 25
Michalik
Correct
gap of 15 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1473 vs Barton 998
Michalik
Correct
both rated, 475 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 80% vs Barton 0%
Michalik
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 70% vs Barton 0%
Michalik
Correct
70pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik +3 · Barton -5
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Barton form (0%) is below what odds imply (25%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 1.17 / Barton 4.05
Signal prob.82% / 18%
Edge (Michalik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13097807
Michalik1.17
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 151 of 245
Up 2–0, closes it95% 77 of 81
Up 1–0, closes it77% 109 of 142
Barton4.05
0%won 0 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 10
oldest → newest10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 216
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 158
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 124
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik10wins
AwayBarton0wins
5 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 10–0, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalik100%7 of 7
AwayBarton0%0 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik7Barton3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S2Michalik5Barton5n = 10split evenly
S3Michalik7Barton3n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Michalik6Barton3n = 9Michalik took 6 of 9
S5Michalik5Barton0n = 5Michalik took 5 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikBartonM − BBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match44.140.5+3.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikBartonBasisWin rate · lifetime538 / 1145 vs 81 / 38247%21.2%538 / 1145 vs 81 / 382Avg sets wonper match1.91.2per matchAvg pointsper match37.431.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikMichalik 1.17/Barton 4.05
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
82%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Michalik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 28 · 01:55J. Michalik—11119113A. Barton—881161
WJul 10 · 02:45J. Michalik—12411113A. Barton—1011991
WJul 9 · 23:05J. Michalik—6121110123A. Barton—1110812102
WJul 2 · 23:55J. Michalik—1111113A. Barton—9880
WJul 2 · 02:35J. Michalik—115811153A. Barton—611119132
WJul 1 · 18:10J. Michalik—11124113A. Barton—8101171
WJun 22 · 03:10J. Michalik—811117113A. Barton—11871182
WJun 15 · 05:30J. Michalik—931111113A. Barton—11118872
WMay 29 · 21:35J. Michalik—1251110113A. Barton—101171282
WMay 29 · 15:35J. Michalik—121311113A. Barton—1015441
J. Michalik10
LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113LSep 8 · 21:05J. Michalik1.851012731K. Delikatny1.85121011113WSep 8 · 18:45M. Brunner2.008790J. Michalik1.671111113WSep 8 · 17:55J. Michalik1.833111011113A. Krezel1.8711412962WSep 8 · 02:45J. Michalik1.501111113A. Staniczek2.302670LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik3.0058111372M. Warzecha1.311111711113WSep 8 · 24:00J. Michalik1.601111113M. Machelski2.107750WSep 7 · 22:25J. Michalik1.7311138113M. Karpiuk1.929111181WSep 7 · 21:10J. Michalik1.8841212113A. Krezel1.8211101081LSep 4 · 02:35J. Michalik2.508360H. Tkaczyk1.501111113
A. Barton10
LSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113LSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113LSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.0611811113A. Barton6.50711641
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