TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13102468
Played Sep 9Finished
Aleksander Barton
Home
5.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Won last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
411311311––––
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.13
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 05:47 and never touched — 70.0% is still 70.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
70.0%
70.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAleksander Barton above · Artur Zmijewski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 43 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 70.0%
43 points played in total.
H2H Aleksander Barton 0–2 Artur Zmijewski Aleksander Barton has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 05:47What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.13 (83%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Barton 1035 vs Zmijewski 1486
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 451 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Barton 20% vs Zmijewski 40%
Zmijewski
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Barton 20% vs Zmijewski 60%
Zmijewski
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Barton +1 · Zmijewski +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 86% — Strong (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 70% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (89%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBarton 5.50 / Zmijewski 1.13
Signal prob.14% / 86%
Edge (Zmijewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13102468
Barton5.50
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog15% won 33 of 223
Down 0–1, comes back5% 8 of 164
Down 0–2, comes back1% 1 of 127
Zmijewski1.13
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite70% won 50 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeBarton0wins
AwayZmijewski2wins
Zmijewski leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away2
These 2 meetings
MetricBartonZmijewskiB − ZBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match19.533.0−13.5per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBartonZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 390 vs 68 / 11521.3%59.1%83 / 390 vs 68 / 115Avg sets wonper match1.22.2per matchAvg pointsper match31.238.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiBarton 5.50/Zmijewski 1.13
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
85.8%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 7 · 03:10A. Barton—5560A. Zmijewski—1111113
LAug 21 · 03:30A. Barton—8960A. Zmijewski—1111113
A. Barton10
WSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 01:55M. Machelski1.281311113A. Barton3.1511690LSep 9 · 01:10M. Brunner1.2111116113A. Barton3.65591151LSep 8 · 23:30H. Tkaczyk1.08111110113A. Barton6.43971281WSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113LSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 19:55J. Michalik1.17713711113A. Barton4.05111111882LSep 8 · 19:10H. Tkaczyk1.0611811113A. Barton6.50711641LSep 8 · 17:30M. Brunner1.3011311113A. Barton3.40411461
A. Zmijewski10
WSep 9 · 20:05M. Baran2.205711121A. Zmijewski1.6111115143LSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792LSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113LSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171WSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102LSep 7 · 04:25A. Zmijewski1.54111061282J. Slawomir2.354121110113WSep 7 · 03:10A. Zmijewski1.101111113A. Barton5.605560
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