TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103062
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
4111151191315511
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:40 and never touched — 60.1% is still 60.1%
Graded at full timeKamil Delikatny to win
60.1%
60.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Delikatny above · Arkadiusz Skupinski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 13-15
Set 5 · 5-11
Point 95 set 5, 5-11 — our read held Kamil Delikatny at 60.1%
95 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Delikatny 24–14 Arkadiusz Skupinski Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 14 of their 38 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:40What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Delikatny
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
24-14 in 38
Delikatny
Wrong
gap of 10 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1330 vs Skupinski 1204
Delikatny
Wrong
both rated, 126 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Skupinski 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 40% vs Skupinski 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -1 · Skupinski -3
Skupinski
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Delikatny) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Delikatny form (40%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 1.44 / Skupinski 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Delikatny)+0.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13103062
Delikatny1.44
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 56 of 95
Up 2–0, closes it100% 28 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it80% 40 of 50
Skupinski2.63
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeDelikatny10wins
AwaySkupinski0wins
1 of 10 to a deciderDelikatny leads 10–0, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeDelikatny100%9 of 9
AwaySkupinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny9Skupinski1n = 10Delikatny took 9 of 10
S2Delikatny5Skupinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Delikatny8Skupinski2n = 10Delikatny took 8 of 10
S4Delikatny7Skupinski0n = 7Delikatny took 7 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home660%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricDelikatnySkupinskiD − SBasisWins100+10in 10 meetingsFirst set91+8of 10Avg pointsper match40.129.0+11.1per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnySkupinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 478 vs 160 / 41147.9%38.9%229 / 478 vs 160 / 411Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match34.535.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
DelikatnyDelikatny 1.44/Skupinski 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
64.9%
Delikatny · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skupinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 11 · 03:05K. Delikatny—101111113A. Skupinski—125641
WJun 10 · 21:05K. Delikatny—11119113A. Skupinski—641181
WMay 21 · 24:20K. Delikatny—1111113A. Skupinski—7940
WMay 20 · 20:20K. Delikatny—11911123A. Skupinski—8117101
WMay 7 · 03:05K. Delikatny—119511113A. Skupinski—51111972
WMay 6 · 21:05K. Delikatny—1111113A. Skupinski—4620
WApr 23 · 24:20K. Delikatny—11713113A. Skupinski—9111151
WApr 22 · 20:20K. Delikatny—11611113A. Skupinski—811891
WApr 8 · 23:55K. Delikatny—111011133A. Skupinski—6126111
WApr 8 · 21:05K. Delikatny—1211113A. Skupinski—10420
K. Delikatny10
LSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152WSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113LSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391LSep 8 · 22:40K. Delikatny1.326720A. Barton3.051111113
A. Skupinski10
LSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.251411113A. Skupinski3.7512990LSep 9 · 18:10A. Skupinski3.008911111A. Fomin1.3611117133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113WSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 2 · 19:40A. Fomin1.22121181192A. Skupinski4.00145116113LSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.3011116113A. Skupinski3.40931171LSep 2 · 18:10A. Skupinski4.33391141A. Zmijewski1.2011119113LSep 2 · 16:35A. Skupinski3.008101181A. Krezel1.3611128113LSep 2 · 15:50J. Zelezik1.14414811113A. Skupinski5.00111211382WAug 26 · 19:40Z. Nocun1.50911781A. Skupinski2.5011711113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.