TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063782
Played Sep 2Finished
Andriej Fomin
Home
1.22
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1214115811116911
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Away
4.00
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:20 and never touched — 80.2% is still 80.2%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
80.2%
80.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndriej Fomin above · Arkadiusz Skupinski below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 98 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Andriej Fomin at 80.2%
98 points played in total.
H2H Andriej Fomin 9–0 Arkadiusz Skupinski Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 0 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:20What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.22 (77%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-0 in 9
Fomin
Wrong
gap of 9 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Fomin 1453 vs Skupinski 1186
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 267 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Fomin 80% vs Skupinski 20%
Fomin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Fomin 70% vs Skupinski 10%
Fomin
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Fomin +3 · Skupinski -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 78% — Strong (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 80% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsFomin 1.22 / Skupinski 4.00
Signal prob.78% / 22%
Edge (Fomin)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13063782
Fomin1.22
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite72% won 278 of 387
Up 2–0, closes it98% 153 of 156
Up 1–0, closes it89% 218 of 246
Skupinski4.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeFomin9wins
AwaySkupinski0wins
4 of 9 to a deciderFomin leads 9–0, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeFomin100%8 of 8
AwaySkupinskin = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Fomin8Skupinski1n = 9Fomin took 8 of 9
S2Fomin4Skupinski5n = 9Skupinski took 5 of 9
S3Fomin6Skupinski3n = 9Fomin took 6 of 9
S4Fomin5Skupinski3n = 8Fomin took 5 of 8
S5Fomin4Skupinski0n = 4Fomin took 4 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home444%
3–2Decider, home444%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 9 meetings
MetricFominSkupinskiF − SBasisWins90+9in 9 meetingsFirst set81+7of 9Avg pointsper match45.138.2+6.9per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricFominSkupinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime506 / 866 vs 158 / 40658.4%38.9%506 / 866 vs 158 / 406Avg sets wonper match2.11.7per matchAvg pointsper match38.035.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominFomin 1.22/Skupinski 4.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
78.2%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Skupinski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WJun 15 · 08:50A. Fomin—118119113A. Skupinski—31191182
WJun 8 · 05:35A. Fomin—131115123A. Skupinski—11917101
WMay 18 · 06:25A. Fomin—511116113A. Skupinski—11771152
WMar 23 · 07:45A. Fomin—111511113A. Skupinski—917681
WDec 22 · 07:25A. Fomin—117911113A. Skupinski—81111972
WOct 27 · 07:25A. Fomin—1111113A. Skupinski—7790
WOct 13 · 08:00A. Fomin—11811113A. Skupinski—511971
WOct 6 · 04:00A. Fomin—111189113A. Skupinski—58111152
WSep 22 · 06:25A. Fomin—11711113A. Skupinski—811951
A. Fomin10
LSep 9 · 16:55M. Baran2.00114118123A. Fomin1.73711611102WSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113WSep 5 · 20:00A. Krezel1.907830A. Fomin1.801111113LSep 5 · 19:10C. Pawlik1.761511113A. Fomin1.9513690LSep 5 · 18:25A. Fomin3.40611961H. Tkaczyk1.2611711113
A. Skupinski10
LSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113WSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113LSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.3011116113A. Skupinski3.40931171LSep 2 · 18:10A. Skupinski4.33391141A. Zmijewski1.2011119113LSep 2 · 16:35A. Skupinski3.008101181A. Krezel1.3611128113LSep 2 · 15:50J. Zelezik1.14414811113A. Skupinski5.00111211382WAug 26 · 19:40Z. Nocun1.50911781A. Skupinski2.5011711113LAug 26 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.251111113A. Skupinski3.757380LAug 26 · 18:10A. Skupinski1.7310139101A. Krezel2.00121111123LAug 26 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.008980H. Tkaczyk1.221111113
Upcoming Matches
A. Fomin
Sep 9 · 18:10A. Fomin1.36A. Skupinski3.00—Sep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91A. Zmijewski1.80—Sep 9 · 20:30A. Fomin1.80M. Lewczuk1.91—Sep 9 · 21:20A. Fomin1.44K. Delikatny2.63—Sep 9 · 22:55A. Fomin1.73M. Baran2.00—Sep 10 · 24:10A. Fomin1.80M. Lewczuk1.91—Sep 10 · 01:25A. Fomin1.91A. Zmijewski1.80—Sep 10 · 02:35A. Fomin1.06A. Barton8.00—
A. Skupinski
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