TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13063792
Played Sep 2Finished
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Home
3.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
8111012118811––
Andrzej Krezel
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:24 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeAndrzej Krezel to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingArkadiusz Skupinski above · Andrzej Krezel below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 79 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Andrzej Krezel at 62.5%
79 points played in total.
H2H Arkadiusz Skupinski 0–2 Andrzej Krezel Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:24What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Krezel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
0-2 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Skupinski 1199 vs Krezel 1382
Krezel
Correct
both rated, 183 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skupinski 20% vs Krezel 80%
Krezel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skupinski 10% vs Krezel 70%
Krezel
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skupinski -1 · Krezel +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 69% — Clear lean (leans Krezel) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skupinski form (20%) is below what odds imply (33%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkupinski 3.00 / Krezel 1.36
Signal prob.31% / 69%
Edge (Krezel)+0.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13063792
Skupinski3.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Krezel1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite32% won 12 of 38
Up 2–0, closes it90% 9 of 10
Up 1–0, closes it55% 11 of 20
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSkupinski0wins
AwayKrezel2wins
Krezel leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away2
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricSkupinskiKrezelS − KBasisWins02−2in 2 meetingsFirst set02−2of 2Avg pointsper match39.544.0−4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkupinskiKrezelBasisWin rate · lifetime158 / 404 vs 52 / 18339.1%28.4%158 / 404 vs 52 / 183Avg sets wonper match1.81.5per matchAvg pointsper match35.834.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrezelSkupinski 3.00/Krezel 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
68.8%
Krezel · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Krezel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 2 · 16:35A. Skupinski—8101181A. Krezel—11128113
LAug 26 · 18:10A. Skupinski—10139101A. Krezel—121111123
A. Skupinski10
LSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113WSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 2 · 19:40A. Fomin1.22121181192A. Skupinski4.00145116113LSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.3011116113A. Skupinski3.40931171LSep 2 · 18:10A. Skupinski4.33391141A. Zmijewski1.2011119113LSep 2 · 15:50J. Zelezik1.14414811113A. Skupinski5.00111211382WAug 26 · 19:40Z. Nocun1.50911781A. Skupinski2.5011711113LAug 26 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.251111113A. Skupinski3.757380LAug 26 · 18:10A. Skupinski1.7310139101A. Krezel2.00121111123LAug 26 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.008980H. Tkaczyk1.221111113
A. Krezel10
WSep 9 · 05:05H. Tkaczyk1.36111171082A. Krezel3.00961112113WSep 9 · 03:55A. Krezel1.241111123A. Barton3.4044100LSep 9 · 02:45M. Brunner1.7771111113A. Krezel1.87118891WSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 8 · 23:55M. Machelski1.96115118122A. Krezel1.69211711143WSep 8 · 23:05M. Brunner1.801111921A. Krezel1.9071311113WSep 8 · 21:55A. Krezel1.2411911113A. Barton3.40411581LSep 8 · 20:45H. Tkaczyk1.3611118113A. Krezel2.95441181WSep 8 · 19:30K. Delikatny1.80133381A. Krezel1.85111111113WAug 26 · 18:10A. Skupinski1.7310139101A. Krezel2.00121111123
Upcoming Matches
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