TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13057789
Played Sep 2Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
1.14
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
4111412811113118
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Away
5.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 07:33 and never touched — 74.7% is still 74.7%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
74.7%
74.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJacek Zelezik above · Arkadiusz Skupinski below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 14-12
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-3
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 93 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 74.7%
93 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Zelezik 8–2 Arkadiusz Skupinski Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 07:33What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.14 (81%)
Zelezik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Zelezik
Correct
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1474 vs Skupinski 1210
Zelezik
Correct
both rated, 263 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 80% vs Skupinski 20%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 70% vs Skupinski 10%
Zelezik
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik +4 · Skupinski +1
Zelezik
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 83% — Strong (leans Zelezik) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 1.14 / Skupinski 5.00
Signal prob.83% / 17%
Edge (Zelezik)+1.6pp
TT Elite Series · #13057789
Zelezik1.14
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite71% won 175 of 247
Up 2–0, closes it96% 104 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it83% 139 of 167
Skupinski5.00
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog31% won 37 of 121
Down 0–1, comes back18% 13 of 73
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelezik8wins
AwaySkupinski2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderZelezik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezik100%4 of 4
AwaySkupinski33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik4Skupinski6n = 10Skupinski took 6 of 10
S2Zelezik9Skupinski1n = 10Zelezik took 9 of 10
S3Zelezik5Skupinski5n = 10split evenly
S4Zelezik5Skupinski3n = 8Zelezik took 5 of 8
S5Zelezik3Skupinski0n = 3Zelezik took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelezikSkupinskiZ − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match40.234.6+5.6per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikSkupinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime343 / 637 vs 158 / 40253.9%39.3%343 / 637 vs 158 / 402Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.135.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikZelezik 1.14/Skupinski 5.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Zelezik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 26 · 18:55J. Zelezik—1111113A. Skupinski—7380
WAug 19 · 18:55J. Zelezik—81111113A. Skupinski—117461
WJun 18 · 04:20J. Zelezik—81211113A. Skupinski—1110881
WJun 17 · 18:45J. Zelezik—11119113A. Skupinski—741181
WMay 18 · 07:10J. Zelezik—12111010113A. Skupinski—104121262
WMay 6 · 23:55J. Zelezik—1111113A. Skupinski—2570
LMay 6 · 17:55J. Zelezik—7116121A. Skupinski—11711143
WJan 29 · 02:30J. Zelezik—911811133A. Skupinski—118117112
WJan 28 · 20:30J. Zelezik—731111113A. Skupinski—11116792
LDec 3 · 22:30J. Zelezik—211851A. Skupinski—11711113
J. Zelezik10
WSep 8 · 01:50J. Zelezik2.5051111113H. Tkaczyk1.50117771LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113LSep 7 · 23:30J. Zelezik1.838760M. Krutak1.831111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123
A. Skupinski10
LSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113WSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 2 · 19:40A. Fomin1.22121181192A. Skupinski4.00145116113LSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.3011116113A. Skupinski3.40931171LSep 2 · 18:10A. Skupinski4.33391141A. Zmijewski1.2011119113LSep 2 · 16:35A. Skupinski3.008101181A. Krezel1.3611128113WAug 26 · 19:40Z. Nocun1.50911781A. Skupinski2.5011711113LAug 26 · 18:55J. Zelezik1.251111113A. Skupinski3.757380LAug 26 · 18:10A. Skupinski1.7310139101A. Krezel2.00121111123LAug 26 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.008980H. Tkaczyk1.221111113
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