TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13088326
Played Sep 7Finished
Jacek Zelezik
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Michal Krutak
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:53 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJacek Zelezik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJacek Zelezik above · Michal Krutak below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jacek Zelezik at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Jacek Zelezik 3–7 Michal Krutak Jacek Zelezik has won 3 of their 10 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 8h before this match
Zelezik beat Krutak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:53What took a side0 for · 5 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Krutak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-7 in 10
Krutak
Correct
gap of 4 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Zelezik 1439 vs Krutak 1496
Krutak
Correct
both rated, 57 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Zelezik 60% vs Krutak 100%
Krutak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Zelezik 60% vs Krutak 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Zelezik +2 · Krutak +5
Krutak
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Zelezik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsZelezik 1.83 / Krutak 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Zelezik)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13088326
Zelezik1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Krutak1.83
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeZelezik3wins
AwayKrutak7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKrutak leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeZelezik42.9%3 of 7
AwayKrutak100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Zelezik7Krutak3n = 10Zelezik took 7 of 10
S2Zelezik4Krutak6n = 10Krutak took 6 of 10
S3Zelezik5Krutak5n = 10split evenly
S4Zelezik2Krutak6n = 8Krutak took 6 of 8
S5Zelezik1Krutak4n = 5Krutak took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricZelezikKrutakZ − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.742.5−1.8per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricZelezikKrutakBasisWin rate · lifetime364 / 674 vs 200 / 33554%59.7%364 / 674 vs 200 / 335Avg sets wonper match2.02.2per matchAvg pointsper match36.239.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZelezikZelezik 1.83/Krutak 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Zelezik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 15:50J. Zelezik—11812123M. Krutak—81110101
WAug 1 · 24:45J. Zelezik—1111113M. Krutak—8970
LJul 31 · 18:45J. Zelezik—111131092M. Krutak—271112113
LJul 20 · 19:40J. Zelezik—14660M. Krutak—1611113
LJul 5 · 21:45J. Zelezik—11117992M. Krutak—691111113
LJul 5 · 17:45J. Zelezik—11811542M. Krutak—811511113
WMay 24 · 01:10J. Zelezik—111588113M. Krutak—413111192
LMay 23 · 19:10J. Zelezik—129101162M. Krutak—1011126113
LMay 15 · 24:20J. Zelezik—981691M. Krutak—111114113
LMay 14 · 20:20J. Zelezik—581181M. Krutak—11119113
J. Zelezik10
LSep 8 · 24:30J. Zelezik1.36111121392A. Kubiak3.001361111113WSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102WSep 7 · 21:00J. Zelezik1.61711811113J. Skorupa2.2011711952LSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892WSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 18:10J. Zelezik2.25511341H. Tkaczyk1.5711511113LSep 7 · 16:35J. Zelezik1.7391011101J. Skorupa2.0011129123WSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123WSep 7 · 02:35J. Zelezik1.7311117133J. Skorupa2.009911111WSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391
M. Krutak10
WSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.501111113H. Tkaczyk1.504580WSep 7 · 21:45M. Krutak1.7311179113A. Kubiak2.009151151WSep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.8311811113J. Skorupa1.83511381WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.