TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13091872
Played Sep 7Finished
Michal Krutak
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1191715911115––
Artur Kubiak
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:40 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Kubiak to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Krutak above · Artur Kubiak below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 17-15
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 11-5
Point 88 set 4, 11-5 — our read held Artur Kubiak at 54.0%
88 points played in total.
H2H Michal Krutak 16–9 Artur Kubiak Artur Kubiak has won 9 of their 25 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 4h before this match
Krutak beat Kubiak 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:40What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Krutak
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-9 in 25
Krutak
Correct
gap of 7 in 25, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Krutak 1452 vs Kubiak 1354
Krutak
Correct
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Krutak 80% vs Kubiak 40%
Krutak
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Krutak 40% vs Kubiak 30%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Krutak +4 · Kubiak -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Krutak) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Krutak form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKrutak 1.73 / Kubiak 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Krutak)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13091872
Krutak1.73
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 180
Up 2–0, closes it98% 41 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it80% 70 of 88
Kubiak2.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog35% won 72 of 205
Down 0–1, comes back17% 22 of 127
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 77
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKrutak6wins
AwayKubiak4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderKrutak leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKrutak83.3%5 of 6
AwayKubiak75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Krutak6Kubiak4n = 10Krutak took 6 of 10
S2Krutak5Kubiak5n = 10split evenly
S3Krutak2Kubiak8n = 10Kubiak took 8 of 10
S4Krutak6Kubiak3n = 9Krutak took 6 of 9
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKrutakKubiakKrutak − KubiakBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.937.9+1.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKrutakKubiakBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 333 vs 512 / 92459.5%55.4%198 / 333 vs 512 / 924Avg sets wonper match2.22.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KrutakKrutak 1.73/Kubiak 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.9%
Krutak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Krutak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 7 · 17:45M. Krutak—12118113A. Kubiak—1091161
LSep 4 · 21:35M. Krutak—1011551A. Kubiak—12611113
LSep 4 · 15:35M. Krutak—6970A. Kubiak—1111113
WAug 4 · 01:25M. Krutak—119811113A. Kubiak—71111532
WAug 3 · 19:20M. Krutak—119612113A. Kubiak—711111062
LJul 27 · 22:55M. Krutak—114461A. Kubiak—91111113
WJul 27 · 16:55M. Krutak—11811113A. Kubiak—711851
WJul 21 · 24:50M. Krutak—131310113A. Kubiak—11111271
WJul 20 · 18:55M. Krutak—91115113A. Kubiak—1151361
LJun 29 · 23:20M. Krutak—1011691A. Kubiak—12511113
M. Krutak10
WSep 7 · 22:50M. Krutak2.501111113H. Tkaczyk1.504580WSep 7 · 20:05M. Krutak1.8311811113J. Skorupa1.83511381WSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113WSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:55M. Krutak2.631411116113H. Tkaczyk1.44127131192LSep 7 · 15:50M. Krutak1.8381110101J. Zelezik1.8311812123LSep 5 · 02:00M. Krutak2.702880C. Pawlik1.421111113LSep 5 · 24:45M. Krutak2.70471191A. Zmijewski1.3911117113LSep 4 · 23:35M. Krutak3.0010570J. Oracz1.331211113LSep 4 · 22:25D. Pyrek1.95811611123M. Krutak1.70117115102
A. Kubiak10
LSep 7 · 22:30A. Kubiak1.73101250J. Skorupa2.001214113LSep 7 · 20:30A. Kubiak2.6311148692H. Tkaczyk1.448121111113LSep 7 · 18:55A. Kubiak3.0031190J. Zelezik1.361113113LSep 7 · 17:45A. Kubiak2.101091161M. Krutak1.6712118113WSep 7 · 16:15A. Kubiak1.73111389113M. Lewczuk2.00411111132WSep 7 · 15:00A. Kubiak1.6711116113J. Skorupa2.10691181LSep 5 · 02:45D. Pyrek1.6051111113A. Kubiak2.10117761LSep 5 · 01:35A. Kubiak3.4041111592J. Oracz1.28116611113LSep 5 · 24:25C. Pawlik1.441111113A. Kubiak2.605660LSep 4 · 23:10A. Zmijewski1.461111133A. Kubiak2.4748110
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.