TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103070
Played Sep 9Finished
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Home
1.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1412119119––––
Arkadiusz Skupinski
Away
3.75
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:47 and never touched — 58.8% is still 58.8%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Lewczuk to win
58.8%
58.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMiroslaw Lewczuk above · Arkadiusz Skupinski below
Set 1 · 14-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 66 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Miroslaw Lewczuk at 58.8%
66 points played in total.
H2H Miroslaw Lewczuk 16–8 Arkadiusz Skupinski Arkadiusz Skupinski has won 8 of their 24 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:47What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.25 (75%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
16-8 in 24
Lewczuk
Correct
gap of 8 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Lewczuk 1465 vs Skupinski 1210
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 255 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Lewczuk 20% vs Skupinski 40%
Skupinski
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Lewczuk 30% vs Skupinski 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Lewczuk -2 · Skupinski -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 76% — Strong (leans Lewczuk) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skupinski form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLewczuk 1.25 / Skupinski 3.75
Signal prob.76% / 24%
Edge (Lewczuk)+1.2pp
TT Elite Series · #13103070
Lewczuk1.25
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite69% won 168 of 242
Up 2–0, closes it95% 103 of 108
Up 1–0, closes it84% 124 of 148
Skupinski3.75
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog30% won 38 of 126
Down 0–1, comes back17% 13 of 76
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 50
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLewczuk6wins
AwaySkupinski4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLewczuk leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLewczuk66.7%4 of 6
AwaySkupinski50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Lewczuk6Skupinski4n = 10Lewczuk took 6 of 10
S2Lewczuk5Skupinski5n = 10split evenly
S3Lewczuk7Skupinski3n = 10Lewczuk took 7 of 10
S4Lewczuk5Skupinski4n = 9Lewczuk took 5 of 9
S5Lewczuk2Skupinski3n = 5Skupinski took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricLewczukSkupinskiL − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match42.539.9+2.6per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLewczukSkupinskiBasisWin rate · lifetime493 / 958 vs 160 / 41051.5%39%493 / 958 vs 160 / 410Avg sets wonper match2.01.8per matchAvg pointsper match36.335.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LewczukLewczuk 1.25/Skupinski 3.75
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
76.2%
Lewczuk · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk—11116113A. Skupinski—931171
WAug 19 · 19:40M. Lewczuk—811911113A. Skupinski—11311982
WJun 17 · 23:55M. Lewczuk—119117113A. Skupinski—51191132
WJun 17 · 17:55M. Lewczuk—11913113A. Skupinski—9111191
LNov 4 · 03:00M. Lewczuk—12211582A. Skupinski—1011711113
WSep 30 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—61111113A. Skupinski—119671
LSep 11 · 19:10M. Lewczuk—91111982A. Skupinski—118811113
LAug 14 · 03:05M. Lewczuk—11145121A. Skupinski—81611143
LAug 13 · 21:05M. Lewczuk—65111192A. Skupinski—111152113
WJul 10 · 21:30M. Lewczuk—1112113A. Skupinski—81090
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.7311811962M. Baran2.00911711113LSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113WSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171LSep 8 · 01:10M. Lewczuk1.80681191A. Kubiak1.9111119113LSep 8 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.0091080M. Krutak1.731112113WSep 7 · 23:10M. Lewczuk1.534101411113J. Skorupa2.38111212772LSep 7 · 22:10J. Zelezik1.73111147123M. Lewczuk2.00681111102LSep 7 · 21:20M. Lewczuk3.006101181H. Tkaczyk1.3611124113WSep 7 · 19:40M. Lewczuk2.00591111113J. Zelezik1.7311119892LSep 7 · 18:30M. Lewczuk2.2091111932M. Krutak1.61117811113
A. Skupinski10
WSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113LSep 9 · 18:10A. Skupinski3.008911111A. Fomin1.3611117133LSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113WSep 9 · 15:50M. Baran1.4496111142A. Skupinski2.63111189113WSep 2 · 19:40A. Fomin1.22121181192A. Skupinski4.00145116113LSep 2 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.3011116113A. Skupinski3.40931171LSep 2 · 18:10A. Skupinski4.33391141A. Zmijewski1.2011119113LSep 2 · 16:35A. Skupinski3.008101181A. Krezel1.3611128113LSep 2 · 15:50J. Zelezik1.14414811113A. Skupinski5.00111211382WAug 26 · 19:40Z. Nocun1.50911781A. Skupinski2.5011711113
Upcoming Matches
M. Lewczuk1 of 10 neutral
Sep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 9 · 21:45M. Lewczuk1.80M. Baran1.86—Sep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10A. Zmijewski1.67—Sep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk1.91A. Fomin1.80—Sep 10 · 01:00M. Lewczuk1.07A. Barton7.50—Sep 10 · 01:45M. Lewczuk1.80K. Delikatny1.91—Sep 10 · 15:00M. Lewczuk—K. Gudzik——Sep 10 · 16:35M. Lewczuk—M. Baran——Sep 10 · 17:20M. Lewczuk—J. Cyndera——Sep 10 · 19:20M. Lewczuk—A. Staniczek——
A. Skupinski
Nothing scheduled
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