TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13103472
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911114116711116
Andriej Fomin
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:30 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAndriej Fomin to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingKamil Delikatny above · Andriej Fomin below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-6
Set 4 · 7-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 87 set 5, 11-6 — our read held Andriej Fomin at 54.0%
87 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Delikatny 1–2 Andriej Fomin Kamil Delikatny has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Fomin beat Delikatny 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:30What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Fomin
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1314 vs Fomin 1485
Fomin
Wrong
both rated, 171 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 40% vs Fomin 80%
Fomin
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 40% vs Fomin 60%
Fomin
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny -2 · Fomin +3
Fomin
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Fomin) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Fomin form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 2.50 / Fomin 1.50
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Fomin)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13103472
Delikatny2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Fomin1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite71% won 280 of 392
Up 2–0, closes it98% 157 of 160
Up 1–0, closes it89% 220 of 248
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeDelikatny1wins
AwayFomin2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderFomin leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Delikatny1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
S2Delikatny2Fomin1n = 3Delikatny took 2 of 3
S3Delikatny2Fomin1n = 3Delikatny took 2 of 3
S4Delikatny1Fomin2n = 3Fomin took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away133%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricDelikatnyFominD − FBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match37.741.0−3.3per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyFominBasisWin rate · lifetime229 / 479 vs 517 / 88747.8%58.3%229 / 479 vs 517 / 887Avg sets wonper match1.92.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.538.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
FominDelikatny 2.50/Fomin 1.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Fomin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Delikatny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny—11119652A. Fomin—861111113
LJul 30 · 24:10K. Delikatny—841181A. Fomin—11116113
WJul 29 · 20:30K. Delikatny—71111113A. Fomin—119891
K. Delikatny10
LSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152WSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113LSep 9 · 01:30K. Delikatny1.698570A. Krezel1.961111113WSep 9 · 24:20K. Delikatny1.7751111113M. Brunner1.87116391
A. Fomin10
WSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792WSep 9 · 18:10A. Skupinski3.008911111A. Fomin1.3611117133LSep 9 · 16:55M. Baran2.00114118123A. Fomin1.73711611102WSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 6 · 02:45A. Fomin3.3081180H. Tkaczyk1.271113113WSep 6 · 01:10A. Fomin1.70111188113C. Pawlik1.9558111182WSep 6 · 24:00A. Fomin1.5491311113K. Gudzik2.251111891LSep 5 · 22:25A. Fomin1.8711621192A. Krezel1.80511117113LSep 5 · 21:10A. Fomin2.7561090J. Oracz1.401112113
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