TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104128
Played Sep 9Finished
Kamil Delikatny
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
118711611117911
Artur Zmijewski
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:13 and never touched — 62.9% is still 62.9%
Graded at full timeArtur Zmijewski to win
62.9%
62.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingKamil Delikatny above · Artur Zmijewski below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 92 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Artur Zmijewski at 62.9%
92 points played in total.
H2H Kamil Delikatny 1–0 Artur Zmijewski Artur Zmijewski has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Delikatny beat Zmijewski 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:13What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Zmijewski
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-0 in 1
—
Too close
1 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Delikatny 1345 vs Zmijewski 1463
Zmijewski
Correct
both rated, 118 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Delikatny 60% vs Zmijewski 40%
Delikatny
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Delikatny 50% vs Zmijewski 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Delikatny +2 · Zmijewski -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Zmijewski) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Zmijewski form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsDelikatny 2.20 / Zmijewski 1.61
Signal prob.40% / 61%
Edge (Zmijewski)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13104128
Delikatny2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog42% won 49 of 118
Down 0–1, comes back17% 9 of 54
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 36
Zmijewski1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite70% won 50 of 71
Up 2–0, closes it100% 27 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it85% 35 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeDelikatny1wins
AwayZmijewski0wins
Delikatny leads 1–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricDelikatnyZmijewskiD − ZBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set10+1of 1Avg pointsper match37.029.0+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricDelikatnyZmijewskiBasisWin rate · lifetime231 / 481 vs 69 / 11748%59%231 / 481 vs 69 / 117Avg sets wonper match1.92.2per matchAvg pointsper match34.538.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ZmijewskiDelikatny 2.20/Zmijewski 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Zmijewski · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Zmijewski won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny—1115113A. Zmijewski—71390
K. Delikatny10
WSep 9 · 22:10A. Barton2.6311118862K. Delikatny1.44671111113WSep 9 · 21:20K. Delikatny2.50911117113A. Fomin1.5011461162LSep 9 · 19:40K. Delikatny1.44411111352A. Skupinski2.63115915113LSep 9 · 18:30K. Delikatny2.001110151M. Baran1.7381211113WSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:15M. Lewczuk1.836680K. Delikatny1.831111113LSep 9 · 15:25K. Delikatny2.6311119652A. Fomin1.44861111113LSep 9 · 04:40K. Delikatny1.584101191A. Barton2.2511129113LSep 9 · 03:05M. Machelski2.11117127113K. Delikatny1.66911101152WSep 9 · 02:20H. Tkaczyk1.328670K. Delikatny2.901111113
A. Zmijewski10
LSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392WSep 9 · 21:00A. Barton5.504330A. Zmijewski1.131111113WSep 9 · 20:05M. Baran2.205711121A. Zmijewski1.6111115143LSep 9 · 19:20A. Fomin1.91115711113A. Zmijewski1.8091111792LSep 9 · 17:20K. Delikatny2.381115113A. Zmijewski1.5371390WSep 9 · 16:35A. Skupinski4.5011114882A. Zmijewski1.17981111113LSep 9 · 15:00M. Lewczuk2.1011117113A. Zmijewski1.67871171WSep 7 · 08:45A. Zmijewski1.451111113M. Wolny2.508480WSep 7 · 07:10A. Zmijewski1.4541111113M. Machelski2.50113841WSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102
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