TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104857
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
1166111210114––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:10 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Cyndera above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 11-6
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 71 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Jakub Cyndera at 67.6%
71 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Cyndera 44–14 Miroslaw Lewczuk Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 14 of their 58 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:10What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Cyndera
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
44-14 in 58
Cyndera
Correct
gap of 30 in 58, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1431 vs Lewczuk 1478
Lewczuk
Wrong
both rated, 47 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 60% vs Lewczuk 80%
Lewczuk
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 70% vs Lewczuk 60%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +2 · Lewczuk +4
Lewczuk
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Lewczuk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.73 / Lewczuk 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+0.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13104857
Cyndera1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite65% won 134 of 205
Up 2–0, closes it99% 77 of 78
Up 1–0, closes it90% 103 of 115
Lewczuk2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog34% won 64 of 191
Down 0–1, comes back18% 21 of 119
Down 0–2, comes back5% 4 of 75
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera6wins
AwayLewczuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCyndera leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera100%6 of 6
AwayLewczuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera6Lewczuk4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S2Cyndera2Lewczuk8n = 10Lewczuk took 8 of 10
S3Cyndera7Lewczuk3n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S4Cyndera4Lewczuk2n = 6Cyndera took 4 of 6
S5Cyndera2Lewczuk1n = 3Cyndera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaLewczukC − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.935.7+3.2per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime316 / 567 vs 492 / 95855.7%51.4%316 / 567 vs 492 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.73/Lewczuk 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Cyndera won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 14 · 01:10J. Cyndera—4111191M. Lewczuk—11134113
WAug 13 · 17:30J. Cyndera—1114113M. Lewczuk—51210
WJun 27 · 22:35J. Cyndera—1171113113M. Lewczuk—41171562
LJun 27 · 15:00J. Cyndera—10830M. Lewczuk—1211113
LJun 22 · 21:35J. Cyndera—109111792M. Lewczuk—1211515113
WJun 22 · 15:35J. Cyndera—1110613113M. Lewczuk—712111182
WJun 20 · 22:55J. Cyndera—11511113M. Lewczuk—711951
WJun 20 · 16:55J. Cyndera—11711163M. Lewczuk—6117141
LJun 16 · 02:00J. Cyndera—5880M. Lewczuk—1111113
WJun 15 · 16:25J. Cyndera—1111113M. Lewczuk—5660
J. Cyndera10
WSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243WSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143WAug 31 · 19:30J. Cyndera1.1471111123D. Maszczynski4.751156101LAug 31 · 18:10A. Staniczek2.3513411113J. Cyndera1.531111581
M. Lewczuk10
WSep 10 · 16:35M. Baran1.8089111492M. Lewczuk1.911111512113WSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113WSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113LSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113WSep 9 · 22:35M. Lewczuk2.10113711113A. Zmijewski1.6781111392LSep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.8611811133M. Lewczuk1.801119111LSep 9 · 20:30M. Lewczuk2.0011810121A. Fomin1.7391112143WSep 9 · 18:55M. Lewczuk1.251411113A. Skupinski3.7512990LSep 9 · 17:45M. Lewczuk1.7311811962M. Baran2.00911711113
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