TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105071
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121311911811––
Mateusz Baran
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Cyndera above · Mateusz Baran below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 85 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jakub Cyndera at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Cyndera 1–1 Mateusz Baran Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:01What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Baran
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1457 vs Baran 1367
Cyndera
Wrong
both rated, 89 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 80% vs Baran 40%
Cyndera
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 80% vs Baran 30%
Cyndera
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +4 · Baran -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Baran form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.83 / Baran 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+4.0pp
TT Elite Series · #13105071
Cyndera1.83
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Baran1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeCyndera1wins
AwayBaran1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away1
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricCynderaBaranC − BBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match45.040.5+4.5per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaBaranBasisWin rate · lifetime318 / 569 vs 63 / 11555.9%54.8%318 / 569 vs 63 / 115Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.040.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.83/Baran 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Baran won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera—111110113M. Baran—981231
LAug 31 · 15:10J. Cyndera—13611982M. Baran—1111511113
J. Cyndera10
WSep 10 · 18:30J. Cyndera2.101111113Z. Nocun1.679850WSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243WSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231WAug 31 · 22:25A. Barton4.7571050J. Cyndera1.141112113WAug 31 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.341111113A. Staniczek2.905720WAug 31 · 20:50P. Gesiarz2.259911121J. Cyndera1.5711118143
M. Baran10
LSep 10 · 18:55K. Gudzik1.91611711113M. Baran1.8011511982LSep 10 · 18:10M. Baran1.508101141A. Staniczek2.5011127113LSep 10 · 16:35M. Baran1.8089111492M. Lewczuk1.911111512113WSep 10 · 15:50Z. Nocun1.6781111862M. Baran2.10117811113WSep 10 · 02:10M. Baran2.171312123A. Zmijewski1.571110100LSep 10 · 24:35K. Delikatny2.201111113M. Baran1.618730LSep 9 · 23:45A. Barton3.25101111163M. Baran1.331287141LSep 9 · 22:55M. Baran2.109101141A. Fomin1.6711126113WSep 9 · 21:45M. Baran1.8611811133M. Lewczuk1.801119111LAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231
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