TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13104852
Played Sep 10Finished
Jakub Cyndera
Home
1.91
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811611311––––
Miroslaw Lewczuk
Away
1.80
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:08 and never touched — 67.6% is still 67.6%
Graded at full timeJakub Cyndera to win
67.6%
67.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Cyndera above · Miroslaw Lewczuk below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 3-11
Point 50 set 3, 3-11 — our read held Jakub Cyndera at 67.6%
50 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Cyndera 45–14 Miroslaw Lewczuk Miroslaw Lewczuk has won 14 of their 59 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 6h before this match
Cyndera beat Lewczuk 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:08What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.80 (51%)
Lewczuk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
45-14 in 59
Cyndera
Wrong
gap of 31 in 59, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cyndera 1463 vs Lewczuk 1495
Lewczuk
Correct
both rated, 32 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cyndera 80% vs Lewczuk 60%
Cyndera
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cyndera 70% vs Lewczuk 70%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Cyndera +2 · Lewczuk -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Cyndera) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Cyndera form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (52%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCyndera 1.91 / Lewczuk 1.80
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Cyndera)+5.5pp
TT Elite Series · #13104852
Cyndera1.91
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog46% won 27 of 59
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 19
Lewczuk1.80
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite69% won 171 of 248
Up 2–0, closes it96% 105 of 110
Up 1–0, closes it83% 126 of 151
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCyndera6wins
AwayLewczuk4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderCyndera leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCyndera100%6 of 6
AwayLewczuk100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cyndera6Lewczuk4n = 10Cyndera took 6 of 10
S2Cyndera1Lewczuk9n = 10Lewczuk took 9 of 10
S3Cyndera7Lewczuk3n = 10Cyndera took 7 of 10
S4Cyndera5Lewczuk2n = 7Cyndera took 5 of 7
S5Cyndera2Lewczuk1n = 3Cyndera took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricCynderaLewczukC − LBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.637.1+2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCynderaLewczukBasisWin rate · lifetime320 / 572 vs 493 / 95855.9%51.5%320 / 572 vs 493 / 958Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CynderaCyndera 1.91/Lewczuk 1.80
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Cyndera · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Lewczuk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera—11612113M. Lewczuk—6111041
LAug 14 · 01:10J. Cyndera—4111191M. Lewczuk—11134113
WAug 13 · 17:30J. Cyndera—1114113M. Lewczuk—51210
WJun 27 · 22:35J. Cyndera—1171113113M. Lewczuk—41171562
LJun 27 · 15:00J. Cyndera—10830M. Lewczuk—1211113
LJun 22 · 21:35J. Cyndera—109111792M. Lewczuk—1211515113
WJun 22 · 15:35J. Cyndera—1110613113M. Lewczuk—712111182
WJun 20 · 22:55J. Cyndera—11511113M. Lewczuk—711951
WJun 20 · 16:55J. Cyndera—11711163M. Lewczuk—6117141
LJun 16 · 02:00J. Cyndera—5880M. Lewczuk—1111113
J. Cyndera10
WSep 10 · 22:10M. Baran1.915990J. Cyndera1.801111113WSep 10 · 21:20J. Cyndera1.36811113113A. Staniczek3.0011591192LSep 10 · 19:40J. Cyndera1.831013981M. Baran1.83121111113WSep 10 · 18:30J. Cyndera2.101111113Z. Nocun1.679850WSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:15K. Gudzik1.918111411222J. Cyndera1.80114163243WSep 10 · 15:25J. Cyndera1.531111133A. Staniczek2.3855110LSep 1 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.39101111562J. Zelezik1.49128611113LSep 1 · 24:45J. Cyndera1.46211721M. Machelski2.4711711113WAug 31 · 23:35J. Cyndera1.74111110113M. Baran1.95981231
M. Lewczuk10
LSep 10 · 22:35K. Gudzik2.63412116113M. Lewczuk1.44111091152WSep 10 · 21:00M. Baran1.805640M. Lewczuk1.911111113WSep 10 · 20:05Z. Nocun1.73413110M. Lewczuk2.001115133WSep 10 · 19:20A. Staniczek3.50612851M. Lewczuk1.28111011113LSep 10 · 17:20J. Cyndera1.7311612113M. Lewczuk2.006111041WSep 10 · 16:35M. Baran1.8089111492M. Lewczuk1.911111512113WSep 10 · 15:00K. Gudzik2.638770M. Lewczuk1.441111113WSep 10 · 01:45K. Delikatny1.9111118572M. Lewczuk1.80961111113WSep 10 · 01:00A. Barton7.509420M. Lewczuk1.071111113LSep 10 · 24:10M. Lewczuk2.003590A. Fomin1.731111113
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