TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105184
Played Sep 10Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
4.08
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
115411115711811
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.20
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:33 and never touched — 76.7% is still 76.7%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
76.7%
76.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
84 points played in total.
Set by set
115411115711811
H2H Witold Stechly 6–63 Miroslaw Warzecha Witold Stechly has won 6 of their 69 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.20 (77%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-63 in 69
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 57 in 69, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1147 vs Warzecha 1539
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 393 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 60% vs Warzecha 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 40% vs Warzecha 60%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly +1 · Warzecha +3
Warzecha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 84% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Warzecha form (60%) is below what odds imply (83%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 4.08 / Warzecha 1.20
Signal prob.16% / 84%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13105184
Stechly4.08
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 48 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back11% 17 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Warzecha1.20
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite72% won 359 of 498
Up 2–0, closes it97% 208 of 215
Up 1–0, closes it89% 271 of 306
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly0wins
AwayWarzecha10wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 10–0, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechlyn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWarzecha100%8 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S2Stechly2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Stechly3Warzecha7n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S4Stechly1Warzecha5n = 6Warzecha took 5 of 6
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyWarzechaS − WBasisWins010−10in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match31.140.8−9.7per matchSweeps04−43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 527 vs 857 / 121516.5%70.5%87 / 527 vs 857 / 1215Avg sets wonper match1.22.4per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaStechly 4.08/Warzecha 1.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
83.6%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly—5670M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 13 · 03:55W. Stechly—8980M. Warzecha—1111113
LAug 6 · 24:45W. Stechly—8811111M. Warzecha—11118133
LJul 30 · 04:20W. Stechly—91180M. Warzecha—1113113
LJul 23 · 04:20W. Stechly—513111152M. Warzecha—1111813113
LJul 16 · 04:20W. Stechly—681151M. Warzecha—11116113
LJul 9 · 04:20W. Stechly—51171152M. Warzecha—119119113
LJul 2 · 04:20W. Stechly—1181141M. Warzecha—91113113
LMay 28 · 03:30W. Stechly—1155111M. Warzecha—81111133
LMay 21 · 24:45W. Stechly—7870M. Warzecha—1111113
W. Stechly10
WSep 10 · 03:00W. Stechly5.0581111113Z. Nocun1.11117591LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113WSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102WSep 7 · 05:10W. Stechly5.20117119113M. Wolny1.1281151172LSep 7 · 04:00W. Stechly4.006990M. Machelski1.221111113LSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113
M. Warzecha10
WSep 10 · 03:20A. Staniczek3.608640M. Warzecha1.221111113WSep 10 · 02:40M. Warzecha1.47111145113K. Gudzik2.5066111182WSep 10 · 01:10M. Warzecha1.41611411113J. Skorupa2.5511311252LSep 10 · 24:20Z. Nocun2.15116811113M. Warzecha1.6191111682LSep 9 · 23:05M. Warzecha1.5271170K. Gudzik2.371113113WSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha1.2391117113A. Staniczek3.451191581WSep 9 · 20:20M. Warzecha1.5611115113Z. Nocun2.18631171LSep 9 · 18:45M. Warzecha1.43913121182J. Slawomir2.501111149113LSep 9 · 17:30M. Warzecha1.709101112102J. Skorupa2.001112810123WSep 3 · 04:20W. Stechly9.255670M. Warzecha1.021111113
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