TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13128738
Played Sep 14Finished
Miroslaw Warzecha
Home
1.21
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
911118117811116
Adam Staniczek
Away
3.65
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:21 and never touched — 77.0% is still 77.0%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
77.0%
77.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
93 points played in total.
Set by set
911118117811116
H2H Miroslaw Warzecha 62–8 Adam Staniczek Adam Staniczek has won 8 of their 70 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:21What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.21 (75%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
62-8 in 70
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 54 in 70, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Warzecha 1541 vs Staniczek 1214
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 327 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Warzecha 80% vs Staniczek 40%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Warzecha 70% vs Staniczek 30%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Warzecha +1 · Staniczek +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 81% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 77% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Staniczek form (40%) outperforms what odds imply (27%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWarzecha 1.21 / Staniczek 3.65
Signal prob.81% / 19%
Edge (Warzecha)+6.3pp
TT Elite Series · #13128738
Warzecha1.21
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite73% won 347 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it89% 261 of 294
Staniczek3.65
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Won last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog25% won 110 of 439
Down 0–1, comes back11% 31 of 280
Down 0–2, comes back2% 5 of 210
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWarzecha9wins
AwayStaniczek1wins
2 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 9–1, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWarzecha100%7 of 7
AwayStaniczek33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Warzecha7Staniczek3n = 10Warzecha took 7 of 10
S2Warzecha8Staniczek2n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S3Warzecha8Staniczek2n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S4Warzecha5Staniczek0n = 5Warzecha took 5 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home550%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWarzechaStaniczekW − SBasisWins91+8in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.129.0+10.1per matchSweeps50+53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWarzechaStaniczekBasisWin rate · lifetime852 / 1203 vs 363 / 101370.8%35.8%852 / 1203 vs 363 / 1013Avg sets wonper match2.41.6per matchAvg pointsper match38.133.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaWarzecha 1.21/Staniczek 3.65
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
81.4%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 10 · 03:20M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek188640
WSep 9 · 21:30M. Warzecha4891117113A. Staniczek431191581
WSep 8 · 24:25M. Warzecha341112113A. Staniczek1831050
LSep 7 · 20:45M. Warzecha4669131172A. Staniczek521111118113
WSep 3 · 02:45M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek206770
WSep 2 · 23:05M. Warzecha3911116113A. Staniczek25811151
WAug 24 · 21:35M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek228950
WAug 24 · 15:35M. Warzecha331111113A. Staniczek207850
WAug 17 · 21:35M. Warzecha4291111113A. Staniczek31115691
WAug 17 · 15:35M. Warzecha50118911113A. Staniczek4161111582
M. Warzecha10
LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 01:10J. Michalik2.65581161M. Warzecha1.3811118113WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.71913911113A. Zmijewski2.00111111772WSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113
A. Staniczek10
WSep 15 · 02:45J. Michalik1.46116531A. Staniczek2.4031111113LSep 15 · 01:35A. Staniczek3.251091171A. Zmijewski1.3012119113LSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 23:10M. Machelski1.73512891A. Staniczek1.92111011113LSep 14 · 21:35J. Cyndera1.365111110123A. Staniczek2.75119712102WSep 14 · 19:35A. Staniczek3.35111311123A. Zmijewski1.258158101WSep 14 · 18:25D. Maszczynski2.313111041A. Staniczek1.5011612113LSep 14 · 17:10P. Gesiarz1.461111113A. Staniczek2.425350LSep 14 · 15:35J. Cyndera1.5011911113A. Staniczek2.35511691LSep 11 · 02:35M. Baran1.501111113A. Staniczek2.506590
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