TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13130209
Played Sep 15Finished
Jerzy Michalik
Home
2.65
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511811118611––
Miroslaw Warzecha
Away
1.38
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 16:36 and never touched — 67.5% is still 67.5%
Graded at full timeMiroslaw Warzecha to win
67.5%
67.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
71 points played in total.
Set by set
511811118611––
H2H Jerzy Michalik 21–51 Miroslaw Warzecha Jerzy Michalik has won 21 of their 72 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 16:36What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.38 (66%)
Warzecha
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-51 in 72
Warzecha
Correct
gap of 30 in 72, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Michalik 1420 vs Warzecha 1560
Warzecha
Correct
both rated, 140 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Michalik 60% vs Warzecha 80%
Warzecha
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Michalik 50% vs Warzecha 90%
Warzecha
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Michalik -1 · Warzecha +4
Warzecha
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Warzecha) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMichalik 2.65 / Warzecha 1.38
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Warzecha)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13130209
Michalik2.65
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog34% won 108 of 315
Down 0–1, comes back18% 33 of 180
Down 0–2, comes back4% 4 of 106
Warzecha1.38
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite73% won 347 of 477
Up 2–0, closes it97% 200 of 207
Up 1–0, closes it89% 261 of 294
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMichalik2wins
AwayWarzecha8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderWarzecha leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMichalikn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayWarzecha87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Michalik2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S2Michalik4Warzecha6n = 10Warzecha took 6 of 10
S3Michalik2Warzecha8n = 10Warzecha took 8 of 10
S4Michalik4Warzecha4n = 8split evenly
S5Michalik2Warzecha2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away440%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricMichalikWarzechaM − WBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match36.343.2−6.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMichalikWarzechaBasisWin rate · lifetime544 / 1155 vs 855 / 120647.1%70.9%544 / 1155 vs 855 / 1206Avg sets wonper match1.92.4per matchAvg pointsper match37.438.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WarzechaMichalik 2.65/Warzecha 1.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.2%
Warzecha · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Warzecha won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 01:10J. Michalik4458111372M. Warzecha511111711113
LJul 30 · 01:10J. Michalik2577110M. Warzecha351111133
WJul 29 · 17:30J. Michalik47117411143M. Warzecha52911119122
LJul 10 · 05:05J. Michalik326411111M. Warzecha4411119133
WMay 28 · 02:45J. Michalik45711511113M. Warzecha4811911982
LMay 27 · 23:05J. Michalik206770M. Warzecha331111113
LMay 23 · 01:35J. Michalik368111071M. Warzecha4211812113
LMay 22 · 19:35J. Michalik4211671172M. Warzecha46411119113
LMay 4 · 04:25J. Michalik357111071M. Warzecha4311912113
LApr 30 · 04:40J. Michalik379111161M. Warzecha3811313113
J. Michalik10
LSep 15 · 24:00J. Michalik1.571151081M. Machelski2.2591112113WSep 14 · 22:25J. Michalik1.9011114113J. Cyndera1.75931161WSep 14 · 21:10J. Michalik2.15111111113A. Zmijewski1.55661351WSep 11 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk1.438980J. Michalik2.501111113LSep 11 · 03:30W. Stechly4.0551117113J. Michalik1.181191581LSep 11 · 02:45J. Michalik1.47111181082M. Machelski2.39881112113LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 11 · 24:20M. Guzik1.76791191J. Michalik1.9611117113WSep 10 · 23:05J. Michalik1.53411119113M. Machelski2.3511661172LSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113
M. Warzecha10
LSep 15 · 02:00J. Cyndera2.3511711113M. Warzecha1.48611791WSep 15 · 24:25M. Warzecha1.2791111113A. Staniczek3.35114871WSep 14 · 22:50M. Warzecha1.71119119113A. Zmijewski2.0091181172WSep 14 · 22:00M. Machelski3.45129551M. Warzecha1.23101111113WSep 14 · 20:45M. Warzecha1.21911118113A. Staniczek3.6511871162WSep 14 · 19:10M. Warzecha1.1291111133D. Maszczynski4.801168111LSep 14 · 18:00M. Warzecha1.417311101P. Gesiarz2.5511115123WSep 14 · 16:25M. Warzecha1.54791111133J. Cyndera2.25111155112WSep 14 · 15:10M. Warzecha1.71913911113A. Zmijewski2.00111111772WSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113
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