TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110341
Played Sep 11Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
4.05
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
5111191715118––
Jerzy Michalik
Away
1.18
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 15:35 and never touched — 62.6% is still 62.6%
Graded at full timeJerzy Michalik to win
62.6%
62.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
87 points played in total.
Set by set
5111191715118––
H2H Witold Stechly 17–40 Jerzy Michalik Witold Stechly has won 17 of their 57 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 15:35What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.18 (77%)
Michalik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
17-40 in 57
Michalik
Wrong
gap of 23 in 57, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1132 vs Michalik 1425
Michalik
Wrong
both rated, 293 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 20% vs Michalik 40%
Michalik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Michalik 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -4 · Michalik -1
Stechly
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 82% — Strong (leans Michalik) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Michalik form (40%) is below what odds imply (85%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 4.05 / Michalik 1.18
Signal prob.18% / 82%
Edge (Michalik)+4.4pp
TT Elite Series · #13110341
Stechly4.05
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog21% won 48 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back11% 17 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Michalik1.18
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As favourite62% won 154 of 249
Up 2–0, closes it95% 78 of 82
Up 1–0, closes it77% 110 of 143
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeStechly3wins
AwayMichalik7wins
7 of 10 to a deciderMichalik leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeStechly25%1 of 4
AwayMichalik66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Stechly4Michalik6n = 10Michalik took 6 of 10
S2Stechly5Michalik5n = 10split evenly
S3Stechly3Michalik7n = 10Michalik took 7 of 10
S4Stechly6Michalik3n = 9Stechly took 6 of 9
S5Stechly2Michalik5n = 7Michalik took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away550%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricStechlyMichalikS − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match44.946.4−1.5per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyMichalikBasisWin rate · lifetime88 / 532 vs 541 / 115116.5%47%88 / 532 vs 541 / 1151Avg sets wonper match1.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match33.037.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MichalikStechly 4.05/Michalik 1.18
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
81.8%
Michalik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Stechly won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 31 · 05:30W. Stechly—9114111J. Michalik—11911133
WAug 27 · 19:55W. Stechly—9121211113J. Michalik—111014882
WAug 10 · 08:45W. Stechly—911119113J. Michalik—11671182
LAug 6 · 23:30W. Stechly—1010111492J. Michalik—1212712113
LJul 30 · 01:55W. Stechly—91511182J. Michalik—1113118113
LJul 27 · 08:45W. Stechly—118811102J. Michalik—811113123
WJul 23 · 23:30W. Stechly—11118123J. Michalik—9911101
LJul 20 · 08:20W. Stechly—12911892J. Michalik—1011911113
LJul 13 · 07:35W. Stechly—11761152J. Michalik—411118113
LJul 6 · 05:35W. Stechly—911110J. Michalik—1113133
W. Stechly10
LSep 11 · 02:20W. Stechly7.102490M. Guzik1.041111113LSep 11 · 24:45W. Stechly4.18911101142H. Tkaczyk1.19116123113LSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113LSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113WSep 10 · 03:00W. Stechly5.0581111113Z. Nocun1.11117591LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113WSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491
J. Michalik10
WSep 11 · 04:20H. Tkaczyk1.438980J. Michalik2.501111113LSep 11 · 02:45J. Michalik1.47111181082M. Machelski2.39881112113LSep 11 · 01:10J. Michalik1.9011712972J. Zelezik1.805111011113WSep 11 · 24:20M. Guzik1.76791191J. Michalik1.9611117113WSep 10 · 23:05J. Michalik1.53411119113M. Machelski2.3511661172LSep 10 · 21:30J. Michalik3.50131260D. Molenda1.251514113LSep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.259870M. Guzik1.301111113LSep 10 · 18:45J. Michalik2.6081111582H. Tkaczyk1.41118811113LSep 10 · 17:30J. Michalik2.101778121J. Zelezik1.60151111143LSep 8 · 22:20J. Michalik2.857650H. Tkaczyk1.331111113
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