TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13110073
Played Sep 11Finished
Witold Stechly
Home
7.10
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
211411911––––
Michal Guzik
Away
1.04
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:27 and never touched — 57.5% is still 57.5%
Graded at full timeMichal Guzik to win
57.5%
57.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
48 points played in total.
Set by set
211411911––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:27What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.04 (87%)
Guzik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Stechly 1135 vs Guzik 1548
Guzik
Correct
both rated, 413 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Stechly 20% vs Guzik 40%
Guzik
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Stechly 30% vs Guzik 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Stechly -3 · Guzik +1
Stechly
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 90% — Strong (leans Guzik) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (40%) is below what odds imply (96%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsStechly 7.10 / Guzik 1.04
Signal prob.10% / 90%
Edge (Guzik)+2.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13110073
Stechly7.10
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog21% won 48 of 234
Down 0–1, comes back11% 17 of 160
Down 0–2, comes back3% 3 of 106
Guzik1.04
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite75% won 117 of 156
Up 2–0, closes it96% 68 of 71
Up 1–0, closes it89% 86 of 97
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricStechlyGuzikBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 530 vs 128 / 17716.4%72.3%87 / 530 vs 128 / 177Avg sets wonper match1.22.5per matchAvg pointsper match33.038.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
GuzikStechly 7.10/Guzik 1.04
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
90%
Guzik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Guzik won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
W. Stechly10
LSep 11 · 24:45W. Stechly4.18911101142H. Tkaczyk1.19116123113LSep 10 · 23:30W. Stechly4.706840J. Zelezik1.131111113LSep 10 · 04:00W. Stechly4.0811411782M. Warzecha1.20511511113WSep 10 · 03:00W. Stechly5.0581111113Z. Nocun1.11117591LSep 10 · 01:55W. Stechly4.20211571J. Skorupa1.1611811113WSep 10 · 24:45A. Staniczek1.7181511171W. Stechly2.0211178193LSep 9 · 23:55W. Stechly4.354650K. Gudzik1.151111113WSep 7 · 08:20W. Stechly2.10114611113A. Barton1.6791111672LSep 7 · 06:45J. Slawomir1.1015811113W. Stechly5.551311491LSep 7 · 06:00A. Zmijewski1.091111117123W. Stechly5.90136711102
M. Guzik10
WSep 11 · 01:30M. Guzik1.2111119113M. Machelski3.92561171LSep 11 · 24:20M. Guzik1.76791191J. Michalik1.9611117113LSep 10 · 22:40M. Guzik1.387890J. Zelezik2.651111113LSep 10 · 21:05H. Tkaczyk1.90131169113M. Guzik1.80115111182WSep 10 · 20:20J. Michalik3.259870M. Guzik1.301111113WSep 10 · 19:30M. Guzik1.15411611113M. Machelski4.3511211762LSep 10 · 18:20M. Guzik2.106650D. Molenda1.601111113LSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360LSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391WSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681
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