TT Lossbeater/TT Elite Series
TT Elite SeriesMatch #13105563
Played Sep 10Finished
Michal Guzik
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611611511––––
Dariusz Molenda
Away
1.60
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDariusz Molenda to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is going
Point-by-point unavailable
BetsAPI did not publish a timeline for this match.
50 points played in total.
Set by set
611611511––––
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:13What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.60 (57%)
Molenda
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
No meetings
—
No value
they have never met
Rating (G2)
Guzik 1599 vs Molenda 1602
Molenda
Correct
both rated, 3 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Guzik 60% vs Molenda 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Guzik 70% vs Molenda 80%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Guzik -2 · Molenda -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Molenda) · live re-read · sealed at 54% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Guzik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsGuzik 2.10 / Molenda 1.60
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Molenda)+0.8pp
TT Elite Series · #13105563
Guzik2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog54% won 7 of 13
Down 0–1, comes back29% 2 of 7
Molenda1.60
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite81% won 122 of 151
Up 2–0, closes it98% 82 of 84
Up 1–0, closes it92% 106 of 115
Head to head
H2H window
First meeting
These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.
Career, not this matchup
MetricGuzikMolendaBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 170 vs 213 / 27073.5%78.9%125 / 170 vs 213 / 270Avg sets wonper match2.52.6per matchAvg pointsper match39.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
Forecastthe model predicts this market
Match Winner
MolendaGuzik 2.10/Molenda 1.60
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.6%
Molenda · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Molenda won
Handicap · Total sets · Score
These two have never met.
The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.
Recent Results
M. Guzik10
LSep 7 · 01:45M. Lewczuk2.501115113M. Guzik1.5061360LSep 7 · 01:00J. Zelezik2.6381115113M. Guzik1.441171391WSep 7 · 24:10M. Guzik1.2011511113J. Skorupa4.33911681WSep 6 · 22:35M. Guzik1.201111113G. Mucha4.336730WSep 6 · 21:45Z. Nocun5.0098120M. Guzik1.141111143WSep 6 · 20:30M. Guzik1.201081111113J. Skorupa4.3312116762LSep 6 · 18:55M. Guzik1.4412115111J. Zelezik2.6314611133WSep 6 · 17:45M. Guzik1.171111113Z. Nocun4.507340WSep 6 · 16:15M. Guzik1.501111113M. Lewczuk2.509920WSep 6 · 15:00M. Guzik1.221111113G. Mucha4.002580
D. Molenda10
LSep 3 · 22:20J. Zelezik3.151311133D. Molenda1.30116110WSep 3 · 21:30M. Wolny4.557550D. Molenda1.151111113WSep 3 · 20:45D. Molenda1.051111113A. Staniczek7.109850LSep 3 · 19:10D. Molenda1.1761111572J. Skorupa4.30118711113WSep 3 · 18:20Z. Nocun4.0013670D. Molenda1.211511113WSep 1 · 22:20H. Tkaczyk2.359670D. Molenda1.501111113WSep 1 · 21:30M. Brunner6.259550D. Molenda1.081111113WSep 1 · 20:45D. Molenda1.2511116113K. Gudzik3.40551151WSep 1 · 19:10D. Molenda1.011111113A. Barton9.905730WSep 1 · 18:20A. Fomin2.6041141272D. Molenda1.421191110113
Upcoming Matches
M. Guzik1 of 9 neutral
Sep 10 · 19:30M. Guzik1.15M. Machelski4.35—Sep 10 · 20:20M. Guzik1.30J. Michalik3.25—Sep 10 · 21:05M. Guzik1.55H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 10 · 22:40M. Guzik1.38J. Zelezik2.65—Sep 11 · 24:20M. Guzik1.43J. Michalik2.43—Sep 11 · 01:30M. Guzik1.15M. Machelski4.35—Sep 11 · 02:20M. Guzik1.04W. Stechly7.10—Sep 11 · 03:05M. Guzik1.55H. Tkaczyk2.20—Sep 11 · 04:40M. Guzik—J. Zelezik——
D. Molenda
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